The School of Odds
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Arezzo v Ascoli

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 14:00 UTC

Final: Arezzo 0–0 Ascoli

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arezzo (Local)

Prediction 27.02%3.70fair odd
EV +0.242%
Edge +0.065%
Kelly +0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.09%27.05%27.04%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.303.7133.33%29.82%30.30%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ascoli (Visit)

Prediction 45.17%2.21fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.25%45.13%45.19%47.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.812.052.052.1555.25%48.70%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.81%3.60fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.90%27.82%27.78%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.303.4432.79%30.51%30.30%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arezzo (Local): 27.02%; Ascoli (Visit): 45.17%; Draw: 27.81%. For Arezzo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.242%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 26.18%EV +0.242%E +0.065%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.59%EV -3.79%E -1.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.23%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-01 13:55
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -2.73%E -0.758%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -2.73%E -0.758%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -14.18%E -7.46%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 13:45
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.72%EV -3.81%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -3.34%E -1.56%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 13:50
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 13:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 13:45
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 13:44
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -4.69%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 13:55
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 06:39
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 06:40
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 13:44
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:45
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.36%EV -8.31%E -4.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 13:45
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 13:45
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.19%EV -7.59%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.14%EV -6.95%E -3.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.67%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 13:35
picklebet_au🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:45
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 13:35
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 13:35
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 13:55
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 13:45
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -8.76%E -4.34%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 13:35
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:15
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:15
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:15
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:15
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:15
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.24%E -2.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:44
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:45
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 13:35
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 06:40
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 06:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 06:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 06:39
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.84%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-01 13:47
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.19%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 27.10%EV -12.73%E -3.94%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.12%EV -12.37%E -6.38%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-01 13:34
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -13.54%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 13:45
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -13.54%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 13:45
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.54%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -13.73%E -7.19%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-01 13:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.54%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -11.92%E -6.11%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-01 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 13:45
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.40%EV -6.50%E -3.14%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-01 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 26.50%EV -14.89%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 46.12%EV -18.24%E -10.08%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -15.17%E -4.98%K -7.40%G +0.000%19.8%2026-11-01 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-01 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.37%EV -7.86%E -3.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.80%EV -12.37%E -6.38%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-01 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -18.94%E -6.31%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 43.43%EV -11.02%E -5.59%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.05%EV -15.17%E -4.98%K -7.40%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-01 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-11-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-11-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-11-01 13:45
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-11-01 13:45
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-11-01 13:55

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