Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Venezia v Lecce

2026-08-22 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Venezia (Local)

Prediction 40.85%2.45fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.816%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%41.00%40.76%41.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.262.302.4048.78%44.27%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lecce (Visit)

Prediction 29.66%3.37fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.533%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.48%29.64%29.66%30.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.093.153.3336.36%32.37%31.75%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.49%3.39fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.538%
Kelly -0.769%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.59%29.36%29.58%30.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.153.3334.48%32.14%31.75%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Venezia (Local): 40.85%; Lecce (Visit): 29.66%; Draw: 29.49%. For Lecce (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.33, with an expected value of -1.24%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.96%EV -1.96%E -0.816%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.52%EV -1.24%E -0.373%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.52%EV -1.79%E -0.538%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-21 08:20
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -8.09%E -3.59%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.68%E -0.811%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 06:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.09%E -3.59%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.57%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-20 06:09
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.09%E -3.59%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.57%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 12:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.09%E -3.59%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-21 00:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.09%E -3.59%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -8.90%E -3.99%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -9.55%E -3.13%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-20 06:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -8.90%E -3.99%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -8.90%E -3.99%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 00:09
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.13%E -4.60%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-23 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -12.51%E -4.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-21 00:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.12%EV -12.99%E -6.10%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.51%E -4.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-21 00:47
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.78%EV -16.26%E -7.93%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.40%EV -18.44%E -6.71%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -14.47%E -4.99%K -7.62%G +0.000%19.6%2026-06-21 00:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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