Venezia v Lecce

2026-08-22 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

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Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

41%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Venezia (Local)

Prediction 40.65%2.46fair odd

EV -6.52%

Edge -2.83%

Kelly -5.01%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.00%40.65%40.65%40.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.232.292.302.3045%44%43%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Lecce (Visit)

Prediction 29.68%3.37fair odd

EV -6.52%

Edge -2.07%

Kelly -3.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.61%29.68%29.68%30.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.003.123.153.1533%32%32%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.68%3.37fair odd

EV -6.52%

Edge -2.07%

Kelly -3.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.61%29.68%29.68%30.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.003.123.153.1533%32%32%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-22 00:09
Everygame	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.55%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-13 12:14
PMU (FR)	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.55%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-07-22 00:10
LiveScore Bet	2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -9.36%E -4.20%K -7.61%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet	2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -9.36%E -4.20%K -7.61%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-22 00:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.