The School of Odds

Udinese v Como

2026-08-23 16:30 — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

Option 1: Udinese (Local)

3.9525.32%Min
4.5621.93%Mean
4.6521.51%Median
5.0020.00%Max
18.94%5.279Min
21.27%4.700Max
20.19%4.952Mean
20.10%4.974Median
20.15%4.963IQM
20.20%4.951Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.00 under the IQM model: 20.15%

EV +0.735%Edge +0.147%Kelly +0.184%Growth +0.001%

Option 2: Como (Visit)

1.6062.50%Min
1.7258.14%Mean
1.7357.80%Median
1.8653.76%Max
51.65%1.936Min
54.75%1.827Max
53.12%1.882Mean
53.33%1.875Median
53.23%1.879IQM
53.12%1.883Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.86 under the IQM model: 53.23%

EV -0.994%Edge -0.534%Kelly -1.16%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.1032.26%Min
3.4528.98%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.7326.81%Max
25.57%3.911Min
27.99%3.572Max
26.68%3.748Mean
26.56%3.764Median
26.62%3.756IQM
26.68%3.748Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.73 under the IQM model: 26.62%

EV -0.694%Edge -0.186%Kelly -0.254%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerUdinese (Local) ▼Como (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00% NM 18.94%EV +0.735% E +0.147% K +0.184% G +0.001%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.75%EV -7.91% E -4.57% K -10.84% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.31%EV -4.15% E -1.15% K -1.60% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 09:50
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83% NM 19.67%EV -3.29% E -0.686% K -0.867% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 53.35%EV -5.78% E -3.27% K -7.51% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.98%EV -6.82% E -1.95% K -2.73% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-25 04:58
FanDuel4.80I 20.83% NM 19.19%EV -3.29% E -0.686% K -0.867% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 54.50%EV -10.04% E -5.94% K -14.55% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.31%EV -6.82% E -1.95% K -2.73% G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-19 10:31
1xBet4.76I 21.01% NM 20.68%EV -4.10% E -0.861% K -1.09% G +0.000%1.86I 53.76% NM 52.93%EV -0.994% E -0.534% K -1.16% G +0.000%3.73I 26.81% NM 26.39%EV -0.694% E -0.186% K -0.254% G +0.000%1.6%2026-06-25 13:15
SportsBet4.75I 21.05% NM 19.87%EV -4.30% E -0.906% K -1.15% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.92%EV -6.85% E -3.91% K -9.13% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.21%EV -4.15% E -1.15% K -1.60% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 10:29
Betr (AU)4.75I 21.05% NM 19.72%EV -4.30% E -0.906% K -1.15% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.52%EV -6.85% E -3.91% K -9.13% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.76%EV -6.82% E -1.95% K -2.73% G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 10:31
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05% NM 19.72%EV -4.30% E -0.906% K -1.15% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.52%EV -6.85% E -3.91% K -9.13% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.76%EV -6.82% E -1.95% K -2.73% G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 18:49
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05% NM 19.60%EV -4.30% E -0.906% K -1.15% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 53.81%EV -7.91% E -4.57% K -10.84% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.60%EV -6.82% E -1.95% K -2.73% G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 10:30
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05% NM 19.41%EV -4.30% E -0.906% K -1.15% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 54.24%EV -9.51% E -5.59% K -13.59% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.35%EV -6.82% E -1.95% K -2.73% G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 10:29
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51% NM 20.69%EV -6.32% E -1.36% K -1.73% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.87%EV -3.12% E -1.72% K -3.81% G +0.000%3.64I 27.47% NM 26.44%EV -3.09% E -0.849% K -1.17% G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 21:59
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74% NM 20.11%EV -7.32% E -1.59% K -2.03% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 53.47%EV -7.91% E -4.57% K -10.84% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.43%EV -6.82% E -1.95% K -2.73% G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-25 04:27
Pinnacle4.53I 22.08% NM 20.74%EV -8.73% E -1.93% K -2.47% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.19%EV -4.19% E -2.33% K -5.23% G +0.000%3.47I 28.82% NM 27.07%EV -7.62% E -2.19% K -3.08% G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 15:00
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73% NM 20.92%EV -11.35% E -2.58% K -3.34% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 53.51%EV -8.45% E -4.91% K -11.73% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.57%EV -4.15% E -1.15% K -1.60% G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-25 04:24
Betclic (FR)4.35I 22.99% NM 20.15%EV -12.36% E -2.84% K -3.69% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 53.45%EV -12.70% E -7.75% K -19.85% G +0.000%3.32I 30.12% NM 26.40%EV -11.61% E -3.50% K -5.00% G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-25 04:27
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09% NM 20.04%EV -12.76% E -2.95% K -3.83% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 51.96%EV -11.11% E -6.65% K -16.58% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.99%EV -17.47% E -5.63% K -8.32% G +0.000%15.2%2026-06-19 10:30
Unibet (FR)4.30I 23.26% NM 20.30%EV -13.37% E -3.11% K -4.05% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 53.24%EV -12.70% E -7.75% K -19.85% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.46%EV -12.14% E -3.68% K -5.28% G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-25 04:27
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81% NM 21.27%EV -15.38% E -3.66% K -4.81% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 51.65%EV -7.91% E -4.57% K -10.84% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.08%EV -12.14% E -3.68% K -5.28% G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-25 04:45
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81% NM 20.25%EV -15.38% E -3.66% K -4.81% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 53.16%EV -14.83% E -9.27% K -24.72% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.58%EV -14.80% E -4.63% K -6.73% G +0.000%17.6%2026-06-22 20:09
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32% NM 21.26%EV -20.42% E -5.17% K -6.92% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 52.49%EV -14.83% E -9.27% K -24.72% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.25%EV -14.80% E -4.63% K -6.73% G +0.000%19.1%2026-06-25 04:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerUdinese (Local)Como (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%1.71I 58.48%3.35I 29.85%11.1%2026-06-24 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%1.06I 94.34%1.02I 98.04%186.7%2026-06-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%1.06I 94.34%1.02I 98.04%186.7%2026-06-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%1.06I 94.34%1.02I 98.04%186.7%2026-06-25 14:50