Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Udinese v AC Milan

2026-10-25 19:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Testa a testa

24 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Udinese (Casa)

Previsione 21.68%4.61quota equa
EV +1.46%
Vantaggio +0.311%
Kelly +0.396%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.03%21.67%21.81%22.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.294.334.6826.67%23.29%23.09%21.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

AC Milan (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.83%1.89quota equa
EV -3.32%
Vantaggio -1.82%
Kelly -4.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.30%52.80%52.72%53.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.761.751.8360.24%56.86%56.98%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.49%3.92quota equa
EV -0.321%
Vantaggio -0.082%
Kelly -0.110%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.81%25.53%25.47%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.653.673.9129.85%27.37%27.29%25.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Udinese (Casa): 21.68%; AC Milan (Trasferta): 52.83%; Pareggio: 25.49%. Per Udinese (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.61. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.68, con un valore atteso positivo del +1.46%.

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 21.03%EV +1.46%E +0.311%K +0.396%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%EV -3.32%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 25.18%EV -0.321%E -0.082%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-11 21:00
Marathon Bet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV -1.36%E -0.299%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.97%E -3.35%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.19%EV -3.13%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 20:49
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -2.45%E -0.544%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -4.91%E -2.73%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 20:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.45%E -0.544%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.49%E -3.67%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.13%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 23:39
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.544%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.91%E -2.73%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.22%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.21%EV -5.97%E -3.35%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 20:34
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.49%E -3.67%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 21:09
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 21:04
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 21:04
Pinnacle🎯4.36I 22.94%NM 21.77%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.44%EV -4.38%E -2.42%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.18%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.78%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -6.49%E -3.67%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.13%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -5.97%E -3.35%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.77%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 01:09
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.22%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 21:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.22%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.22%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 21:55
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.22%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 21:54
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.49%EV -12.31%E -7.41%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.77%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-12 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -7.02%E -3.99%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.95%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 01:05
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.81%EV -6.49%E -3.67%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-12 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -10.19%E -6.00%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-12 01:15
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.22%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 22:34
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -18.70%E -4.99%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.30%EV -11.25%E -6.70%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -14.60%E -4.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-12 01:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-10-11 20:55
Smarkets◎3.85I 25.97%NM 22.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 50.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%16.4%2026-10-12 01:05