The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Torino v Monza

2026-10-23 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Torino (Local)

Prediction 45.53%2.20fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.981%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.96%45.62%45.60%47.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.032.052.1553.19%49.18%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Monza (Visit)

Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.435%
Kelly -0.599%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.05%26.97%27.07%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.443.403.6432.26%29.10%29.41%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.43%3.65fair odd
EV -0.699%
Edge -0.193%
Kelly -0.267%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.63%27.41%27.33%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.6231.25%29.48%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Torino (Local): 45.53%; Monza (Visit): 27.04%; Draw: 27.43%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.62, with an expected value of -0.699%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.78%EV -2.11%E -0.981%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.04%EV -1.58%E -0.435%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.19%EV -0.699%E -0.193%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-11 20:49
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.78%EV -4.84%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.03%EV -4.29%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.44%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 20:44
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.53%EV -4.84%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.88%EV -4.29%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 21:15
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.66%E -0.740%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 20:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 20:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 21:55
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 22:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 20:14
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 21:04
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 21:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 21:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 21:04
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -8.03%E -3.97%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 20:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.66%E -0.740%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-12 00:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 20:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.23%EV -12.13%E -6.28%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.48%EV -8.88%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.29%EV -10.30%E -3.15%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 20:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.06%EV -12.58%E -6.55%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-11 20:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -14.40%E -7.66%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-11 20:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-10-11 20:15
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 44.66%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.22%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.12%16.6%2026-10-11 20:20