L’École des cotes

Torino v Juventus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 19:53 UTC

Score final : Torino 2–2 Juventus

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Torino (Local)

Prévision 15.55%6.43cote équitable
EV +16.66%
Avantage +2.22%
Kelly +2.56%
Croissance +0.427%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.11%15.56%15.65%17.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.316.257.5018.52%15.84%16.00%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Juventus (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.66%1.60cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -5.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.54%62.60%62.67%65.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.491.491.5572.46%67.34%67.11%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.78%4.59cote équitable
EV +2.38%
Avantage +0.506%
Kelly +0.643%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.76%21.85%21.68%23.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.314.304.7025.00%23.18%23.26%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +16.66%E +2.22%K +2.56%G +0.427%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -6.63%E -4.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%EV +2.38%E +0.506%K +0.643%G +0.015%1.7%2026-05-24 19:50
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +16.66%E +2.22%K +2.56%G +0.427%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -6.63%E -4.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%EV +2.38%E +0.506%K +0.643%G +0.015%1.7%2026-05-24 19:50
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +16.66%E +2.22%K +2.56%G +0.427%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -6.63%E -4.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%EV +2.38%E +0.506%K +0.643%G +0.015%1.7%2026-05-24 19:50
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +16.66%E +2.22%K +2.56%G +0.427%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.53%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%EV +0.202%E +0.044%K +0.056%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 19:50
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +16.66%E +2.22%K +2.56%G +0.427%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.53%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%EV +0.202%E +0.044%K +0.056%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 19:50
Grosvenor6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.39%E -7.27%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 19:50
Casumo6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.39%E -7.27%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 19:50
Bally Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.39%E -7.27%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 19:50
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.26%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Virgin Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.26%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -10.39%E -7.27%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 19:50
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -10.39%E -7.27%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 19:50
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -10.39%E -7.27%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 19:50
BetUS6.55I 15.27%NM 14.56%EV +1.89%E +0.288%K +0.340%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.63%E -4.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.43%EV -3.07%E -0.689%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 19:50
Pinnacle6.53I 15.31%NM 14.59%EV +1.57%E +0.241%K +0.285%G +0.004%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.10%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.31%EV -6.99%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:50
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.94%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.24%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 19:49
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -4.15%E -0.944%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 19:50
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:50
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 19:50
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 19:49
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -11.02%E -7.76%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.69%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 19:50
Betsson6.30I 15.87%NM 14.66%EV -2.00%E -0.318%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.82%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -10.69%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 19:50
Caesars6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -2.78%E -0.445%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 19:47
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.10%EV -2.78%E -0.445%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.87%EV -13.53%E -9.80%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-24 19:50
BetAnything6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.39%EV -4.75%E -3.13%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 19:44
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.15%E -0.944%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.87%E -1.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:50
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 19:50
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 19:50
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -6.63%E -4.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -4.15%E -0.944%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 19:49
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 19:50
Fliff6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.14%E -6.30%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.69%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 19:50
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.45%EV -9.78%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.35%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 19:45
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -9.78%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 19:49
William Hill5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.78%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 19:49
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -2.87%E -1.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 19:50
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 19:46
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:50
Fanatics5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 19:50
Neds5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 19:44
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.45%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -4.75%E -3.13%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 19:50
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.45%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 19:50
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -16.00%E -2.96%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -2.87%E -1.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 19:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-24 19:50
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.76%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.60%1.8%2026-05-24 19:50
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 37.37%1.48I 67.57%NM 25.25%1.00I 100.00%NM 37.37%167.6%2026-05-24 19:50