La escuela de los momios

Torino v Juventus

Inicio: 2026-05-24 19:53 UTC

Final: Torino 2–2 Juventus

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Torino (Local)

Predicción 15.55%6.43momio equitativo
EV +16.66%
Ventaja +2.22%
Kelly +2.56%
Crecimiento +0.427%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.11%15.56%15.65%17.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.316.257.5018.52%15.84%16.00%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Juventus (Visitante)

Predicción 62.66%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -5.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.54%62.60%62.67%65.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.491.491.5572.46%67.34%67.11%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.78%4.59momio equitativo
EV +2.38%
Ventaja +0.506%
Kelly +0.643%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.76%21.85%21.68%23.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.314.304.7025.00%23.18%23.26%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +16.66%E +2.22%K +2.56%G +0.427%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -6.63%E -4.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%EV +2.38%E +0.506%K +0.643%G +0.015%1.7%2026-05-24 19:50
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +16.66%E +2.22%K +2.56%G +0.427%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -6.63%E -4.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%EV +2.38%E +0.506%K +0.643%G +0.015%1.7%2026-05-24 19:50
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +16.66%E +2.22%K +2.56%G +0.427%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -6.63%E -4.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%EV +2.38%E +0.506%K +0.643%G +0.015%1.7%2026-05-24 19:50
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +16.66%E +2.22%K +2.56%G +0.427%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.53%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%EV +0.202%E +0.044%K +0.056%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 19:50
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +16.66%E +2.22%K +2.56%G +0.427%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.53%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%EV +0.202%E +0.044%K +0.056%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 19:50
Grosvenor6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.39%E -7.27%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 19:50
Casumo6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.39%E -7.27%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 19:50
Bally Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -10.39%E -7.27%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 19:50
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.26%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Virgin Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.26%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -10.39%E -7.27%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 19:50
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -10.39%E -7.27%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 19:50
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.00%E +0.740%K +0.869%G +0.043%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -10.39%E -7.27%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 19:50
BetUS6.55I 15.27%NM 14.56%EV +1.89%E +0.288%K +0.340%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.63%E -4.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.43%EV -3.07%E -0.689%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 19:50
Pinnacle6.53I 15.31%NM 14.59%EV +1.57%E +0.241%K +0.285%G +0.004%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.10%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.31%EV -6.99%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:50
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.94%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.24%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 19:49
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -4.15%E -0.944%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 19:50
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:50
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 19:50
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 19:49
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV +1.11%E +0.170%K +0.201%G +0.002%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -11.02%E -7.76%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.69%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 19:50
Betsson6.30I 15.87%NM 14.66%EV -2.00%E -0.318%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.82%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -10.69%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 19:50
Caesars6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -2.78%E -0.445%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 19:47
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.10%EV -2.78%E -0.445%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.87%EV -13.53%E -9.80%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-24 19:50
BetAnything6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.39%EV -4.75%E -3.13%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 19:44
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.15%E -0.944%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.87%E -1.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:50
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 19:50
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 19:50
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -6.63%E -4.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -4.15%E -0.944%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 19:49
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 19:50
Fliff6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.67%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.14%E -6.30%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.69%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 19:50
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.45%EV -9.78%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.35%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 19:45
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -9.78%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 19:49
William Hill5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.78%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 19:49
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -2.87%E -1.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 19:50
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 19:46
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:50
Fanatics5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.98%E -0.439%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 19:50
Neds5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.56%E -1.84%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -4.13%E -2.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 19:44
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.45%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -4.75%E -3.13%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 19:50
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.45%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.01%E -4.00%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 19:50
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -16.00%E -2.96%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -2.87%E -1.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 19:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-24 19:50
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.76%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.60%1.8%2026-05-24 19:50
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 37.37%1.48I 67.57%NM 25.25%1.00I 100.00%NM 37.37%167.6%2026-05-24 19:50