L’École des cotes

Torino v AC Milan

2026-08-23 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Torino (Local)

Prévision 21.37%4.68cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.324%
Kelly -0.414%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.50%21.42%21.39%22.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.354.404.6125.00%22.97%22.73%21.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AC Milan (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.02%1.89cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.99%53.01%53.02%54.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.751.751.8560.61%56.99%57.14%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.61%3.90cote équitable
EV -0.875%
Avantage -0.226%
Kelly -0.305%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%25.57%25.59%26.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.643.673.8729.41%27.46%27.25%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.61I 21.69%NM 21.35%EV -1.49%E -0.324%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.21%EV -1.92%E -1.04%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.44%EV -0.875%E -0.226%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-17 04:35
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.71%E -0.371%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 06:29
BetOnline.ag4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.78%E -0.610%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 20:24
LowVig.ag4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.78%E -0.610%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 20:25
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38%EV -3.84%E -0.854%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.16%EV -4.04%E -2.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.46%EV -3.18%E -0.841%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 04:24
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -3.84%E -0.854%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 10:59
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -3.84%E -0.854%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-13 02:15
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -3.84%E -0.854%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.67%E -0.702%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 00:40
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.84%E -0.854%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 08:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.84%E -0.854%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -8.28%E -4.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 00:40
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.84%E -0.854%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.28%E -4.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 00:40
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.84%E -0.854%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -10.40%E -6.15%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 00:40
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.91%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-13 02:14
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.91%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-13 02:14
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 06:05
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 15:30
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 22:46
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 20:44
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 14:10
betano_uk4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 08:38
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -9.87%E -5.80%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 00:45
Pinnacle4.36I 22.94%NM 21.56%EV -6.84%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.82%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.62%EV -6.00%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 04:34
BetUS4.36I 22.94%NM 21.56%EV -6.84%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.82%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.62%EV -6.00%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 23:19
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -7.05%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -8.28%E -4.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:25
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.39%EV -3.51%E -1.93%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 15:09
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 06:05
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 06:05
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -9.19%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -8.81%E -5.12%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.07%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 08:30
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.75%E -4.45%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.51%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 02:15
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.28%E -4.78%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 04:30
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 21.47%EV -11.32%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.71%EV -10.40%E -6.15%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -11.63%E -3.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 18:49
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.81%E -5.12%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-13 16:35
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -7.75%E -4.45%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-06 11:15
Unibet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.67%EV -11.46%E -6.86%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -12.91%E -3.80%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-13 02:14
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 52.97%EV -12.52%E -7.59%K -19.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.91%E -3.80%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-22 13:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 20:05
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.46%E -6.86%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-28 17:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-26 06:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-26 06:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-26 06:29
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%8.6%2026-07-26 03:05