默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sassuolo v Juventus

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 16:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sassuolo (主队)

预测 17.04%5.87公平赔率
EV +5.65%
优势 +0.912%
Kelly +1.09%
增长率 +0.061%

假设最高赔率为 6.20

博彩公司预测分布
15.20%16.95%17.15%18.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.435.506.2021.74%18.43%18.18%16.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

Juventus (客队)

预测 58.94%1.70公平赔率
EV -2.75%
优势 -1.67%
Kelly -4.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
56.91%58.82%58.98%60.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.581.591.6567.57%63.17%62.89%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.02%4.16公平赔率
EV -0.555%
优势 -0.134%
Kelly -0.177%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.14

博彩公司预测分布
23.17%24.23%23.86%26.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.853.834.1428.57%25.97%26.11%24.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Sassuolo (主队):17.04%;Juventus (客队):58.94%;平局:24.02%。 对于“Sassuolo (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.87。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.20,对应+5.65%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV +5.65%E +0.912%K +1.09%G +0.061%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.01%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 10:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.24%E +0.374%K +0.449%G +0.010%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -3.93%E -2.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -15.93%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 21:15
1xBet🎯5.93I 16.86%NM 16.59%EV +1.05%E +0.177%K +0.213%G +0.002%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.64%EV -2.75%E -1.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.77%EV -0.555%E -0.134%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-31 05:20
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV +0.540%E +0.091%K +0.110%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -13.53%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 11:00
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV +0.540%E +0.091%K +0.110%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -13.53%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.57%EV -1.16%E -0.201%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.70%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.72%E -0.671%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 09:00
SportsBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.40%EV -1.16%E -0.201%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.82%EV -6.29%E -3.95%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.92%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:24
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -2.02%E -0.351%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -6.29%E -3.95%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.92%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:30
FanDuel🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -2.87%E -0.503%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.92%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV -4.57%E -0.817%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -5.12%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:20
Pinnacle🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.28%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.48%EV -2.96%E -0.732%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 21:55
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.92%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:24
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -5.70%E -3.56%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.92%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 16:24
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.32%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 16:24
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -6.28%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 16:24
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -7.98%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.92%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 22:08
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.54%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -3.92%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 20:54
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -10.54%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -6.88%E -4.35%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 11:00
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.54%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.98%EV -9.23%E -6.00%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.72%EV -8.00%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 10:58
LeoVegas🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -11.39%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.52%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -11.39%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.73%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 11:00
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -13.09%E -2.57%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -8.06%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.12%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 11:00
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -4.52%E -2.79%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.92%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 17:00
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.12%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 16:20
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 07:25
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.80%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.37%EV -9.23%E -6.00%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 18.71%EV -21.61%E -4.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.38%EV -11.59%E -7.73%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -13.53%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-30 21:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.11%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%5.0%2026-08-31 13:40
Smarkets◎4.80I 20.83%NM 17.95%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%16.1%2026-09-01 01:40