Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sassuolo v Juventus

2026-09-13 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sassuolo (Local)

Prediction 16.69%5.99fair odd
EV +3.48%
Edge +0.562%
Kelly +0.670%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.20%16.52%16.69%18.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.535.606.2021.28%18.10%17.86%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juventus (Visit)

Prediction 59.35%1.68fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.56%59.19%59.36%60.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.571.571.6567.57%63.83%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.96%4.17fair odd
EV -0.801%
Edge -0.194%
Kelly -0.255%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.00%24.29%23.95%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.873.904.1428.57%25.84%25.64%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sassuolo (Local): 16.69%; Juventus (Visit): 59.35%; Draw: 23.96%. For Sassuolo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.99. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.20, producing a positive expected value of +3.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV +3.48%E +0.562%K +0.670%G +0.023%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.01%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.95%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +0.144%E +0.024%K +0.029%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.56%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -16.14%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 14:29
1xBet🎯5.93I 16.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.02%E -0.173%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.64%EV -2.08%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.77%EV -0.801%E -0.194%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-31 14:20
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.03%E -0.701%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.64%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 14:15
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.27%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 15:15
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:15
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:15
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:15
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:20
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:15
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.53%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -8.20%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.55%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 01:40
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.20%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.95%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -9.87%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -9.20%E -6.01%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.74%EV -8.23%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 01:39
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -11.54%E -2.18%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.93%EV -12.16%E -8.22%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.95%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-31 15:29
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -12.37%E -2.36%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 14:15
LeoVegas🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -12.37%E -2.36%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -6.82%E -4.35%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -7.75%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 02:15
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -12.37%E -2.36%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -12.37%E -2.36%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -14.88%E -2.92%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -7.42%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.45%EV -21.55%E -4.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.80%EV -10.98%E -7.32%K -21.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.75%EV -12.54%E -3.44%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-01 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.15%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.98%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.87%4.9%2026-09-01 02:20