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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Sassuolo v Genoa

2026-11-22 14:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

胜负盘

14 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sassuolo (主队)

预测 39.46%2.53公平赔率
EV -2.13%
优势 -0.861%
Kelly -1.44%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.48

博彩公司预测分布
38.53%39.57%39.48%41.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.352.402.4847.62%42.55%41.67%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

Genoa (客队)

预测 32.64%3.06公平赔率
EV -2.41%
优势 -0.807%
Kelly -1.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.99

博彩公司预测分布
31.95%32.59%32.54%33.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.822.802.9939.22%35.50%35.71%33.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.90%3.58公平赔率
EV +0.442%
优势 +0.123%
Kelly +0.170%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.42%27.84%27.98%28.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.69%29.85%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Sassuolo (主队)：39.46%；Genoa (客队)：32.64%；平局：27.90%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.58。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.60，由此产生+0.442%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (14 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.71%EV -2.13%E -0.861%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.94%EV -2.41%E -0.807%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%EV +0.442%E +0.123%K +0.170%G +0.001%1.5%2026-11-04 18:35
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.61%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV +0.442%E +0.123%K +0.170%G +0.001%5.2%2026-11-04 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.69%EV -4.90%E -2.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.98%EV -5.35%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-04 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -3.72%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-04 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.61%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-04 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.90%E -2.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.57%EV -4.37%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.83%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-04 18:15
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.50%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -4.70%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-04 18:15
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -4.50%E -1.86%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.64%EV -5.35%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-04 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.26%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.25%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-04 14:54
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.08%E -2.55%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.25%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-04 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.29%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.61%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-04 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.08%EV -17.13%E -8.16%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.95%EV -11.88%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-04 14:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.36%EV -12.00%E -5.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.51%EV -11.88%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.13%EV -12.95%E -4.15%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-04 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.87%EV -13.18%E -5.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.54%EV -16.77%E -6.58%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-04 14:34
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 38.36%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.80%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.84%16.4%2026-11-04 19:10