Language:English
Napoli v Como
Head to Head
Napoli (Local)
Prediction 44.72%2.24fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.98%44.72%44.72%47.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.092.102.1551.28%47.85%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Como (Visit)
Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV +18.59%
Edge +4.20%
Kelly +5.43%
Growth +1.01%
assuming max odds 4.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.28%26.83%26.83%27.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.504.4229.41%27.80%28.57%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.46%3.51fair odd
EV -6.10%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%28.46%28.46%29.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.293.3032.26%30.73%30.40%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Napoli (Local): 44.72%; Como (Visit): 26.83%; Draw: 28.46%. For Como (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.42, producing a positive expected value of +18.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.80%EV -7.89%E -3.83%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 22.28%EV +18.59%E +4.20%K +5.43%G +1.01% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.93%EV -6.38%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -12.80%E -6.57%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV +0.610%E +0.163%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 11:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 10:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 10:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 10:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 10:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 10:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 10:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-21 10:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.64% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.26% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.10% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 32.92% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54% | 181.3% | 2026-08-21 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 32.92% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54% | 181.3% | 2026-08-21 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33% | 197.0% | 2026-08-21 10:45 |
Arbitrage (14 combinations) +0.56%SportsBet 2.15 (46.8%) / 1xBet 4.42 (22.8%) / SportsBet 3.30 (30.5%)Show all 14 combinations
| Napoli (Local) | Como (Visit) | Draw | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 2.15 (46.8%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.8%) | SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.5%) | +0.564% |
| SportsBet🎯 2.15 (46.8%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.8%) | betfred_uk🎯 3.30 (30.5%) | +0.564% |
| SportsBet🎯 2.15 (46.8%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.8%) | Betr (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.5%) | +0.564% |
| SportsBet🎯 2.15 (46.8%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.8%) | FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.5%) | +0.564% |
| betfred_uk🎯 2.15 (46.8%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.8%) | SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.5%) | +0.564% |
| betfred_uk🎯 2.15 (46.8%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.8%) | betfred_uk🎯 3.30 (30.5%) | +0.564% |
| betfred_uk🎯 2.15 (46.8%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.8%) | Betr (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.5%) | +0.564% |
| betfred_uk🎯 2.15 (46.8%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.8%) | FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.5%) | +0.564% |
| SportsBet🎯 2.15 (46.7%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.7%) | 1xBet🎯 3.29 (30.5%) | +0.471% |
| betfred_uk🎯 2.15 (46.7%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.7%) | 1xBet🎯 3.29 (30.5%) | +0.471% |
| SportsBet🎯 2.15 (46.6%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.6%) | Bet Right🎯 3.25 (30.8%) | +0.095% |
| SportsBet🎯 2.15 (46.6%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.6%) | Sky Bet🎯 3.25 (30.8%) | +0.095% |
| betfred_uk🎯 2.15 (46.6%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.6%) | Bet Right🎯 3.25 (30.8%) | +0.095% |
| betfred_uk🎯 2.15 (46.6%) | 1xBet🎯 4.42 (22.6%) | Sky Bet🎯 3.25 (30.8%) | +0.095% |
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