Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Napoli v Bologna

Kickoff: 2026-05-11 18:45 UTC

Final: Napoli 2–3 Bologna

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Napoli (Local)

Prediction 60.82%1.64fair odd
EV -0.862%
Edge -0.529%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.35%60.84%60.86%62.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.551.6368.97%64.90%64.52%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bologna (Visit)

Prediction 15.84%6.31fair odd
EV +6.94%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.084%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.40%15.78%15.77%16.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.096.006.7518.18%16.43%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.34%4.29fair odd
EV -0.822%
Edge -0.193%
Kelly -0.253%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.29%23.37%23.36%25.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.034.004.2529.41%24.81%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Napoli (Local): 60.82%; Bologna (Visit): 15.84%; Draw: 23.34%. For Bologna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.31. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +6.94%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.084%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -0.822%E -0.193%K -0.253%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-11 17:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +6.94%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.084%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -0.822%E -0.193%K -0.253%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-11 17:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +6.94%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.084%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -0.822%E -0.193%K -0.253%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-11 17:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +6.94%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.084%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -0.822%E -0.193%K -0.253%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-11 17:44
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.90%EV -4.51%E -2.87%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV +6.94%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.084%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.70%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-11 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.81%EV -6.34%E -4.11%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.44%EV +6.15%E +0.918%K +1.08%G +0.066%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -0.822%E -0.193%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 17:44
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.35%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.72%EV +2.98%E +0.459%K +0.542%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 17:44
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV +2.98%E +0.459%K +0.542%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 17:44
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +1.40%E +0.218%K +0.259%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 17:44
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +1.40%E +0.218%K +0.259%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 17:44
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +1.40%E +0.218%K +0.259%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +1.40%E +0.218%K +0.259%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +1.40%E +0.218%K +0.259%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 17:44
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +1.40%E +0.218%K +0.259%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 17:44
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +1.40%E +0.218%K +0.259%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 17:43
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +1.40%E +0.218%K +0.259%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 17:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -9.38%E -6.29%K -19.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV +1.40%E +0.218%K +0.259%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 17:44
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.30%EV -6.94%E -4.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.01%EV +0.605%E +0.095%K +0.113%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -1.99%E -0.474%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 17:44
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.22%EV -3.90%E -2.47%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.35%EV -0.187%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.42%EV -3.62%E -0.877%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 17:45
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.86%EV -1.47%E -0.908%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.78%EV -0.979%E -0.157%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.36%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-11 17:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.22%EV -3.90%E -2.47%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.48%EV -0.979%E -0.157%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.31%EV -3.16%E -0.760%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 17:42
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -0.979%E -0.157%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.54%EV -11.81%E -8.14%K -26.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -0.979%E -0.157%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-11 17:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.91%EV -3.30%E -2.07%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.75%EV -2.56%E -0.417%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.760%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-11 17:44
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -4.51%E -2.87%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.62%EV -3.36%E -0.550%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.70%EV -6.19%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.38%E -6.29%K -19.14%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV -3.36%E -0.550%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.38%E -6.29%K -19.14%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV -3.36%E -0.550%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 17:44
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.30%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -1.99%E -0.474%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 07:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 17:44
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.78%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.41%EV -5.49%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:43
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.78%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.41%EV -5.49%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 17:43
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -6.34%E -4.11%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 17:44
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 17:44
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 17:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -7.55%E -4.97%K -14.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -1.99%E -0.474%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 17:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 01:39
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.94%E -4.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 01:39
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.94%E -4.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 17:44
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 13:24
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -6.94%E -4.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 17:44
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -6.94%E -4.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.94%E -0.823%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 17:44
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.96%EV -3.90%E -2.47%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV -6.52%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 17:45
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.96%EV -3.90%E -2.47%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV -6.52%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 17:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.89%EV -7.55%E -4.97%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -6.52%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.31%EV -0.862%E -0.529%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.52%EV -7.32%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 17:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.31%EV -0.862%E -0.529%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.52%EV -7.32%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 17:44
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.63%EV -7.32%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -7.55%E -4.97%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -8.11%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -1.99%E -0.474%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 17:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.90%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 01:55
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.90%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 01:55
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -4.51%E -2.87%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -8.90%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 17:44
Caesars🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.90%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 13:58
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -8.90%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:39
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -8.90%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.16%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 17:44
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -6.34%E -4.11%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -8.90%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 17:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -9.69%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -6.66%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-11 14:29
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -12.86%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 17:44
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.94%E -4.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.86%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-11 17:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.94%E -4.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.86%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.94%E -4.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.86%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.99%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -12.86%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -20.66%E -6.08%K -8.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-11 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-05-11 17:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-05-11 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-05-11 17:45
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-05-11 17:45
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-11 17:44
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 61.59%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04%4.1%2026-05-11 17:44