Idioma:Español
Napoli v Bologna
Resultado del partido
Napoli (Local)
Predicción 60.08%1.66momio equitativo
EV +0.333%
Ventaja +0.199%
Kelly +0.497%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.51%59.80%60.14%61.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.561.571.6768.97%64.09%63.69%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Bologna (Visitante)
Predicción 16.06%6.23momio equitativo
EV +5.16%
Ventaja +0.788%
Kelly +0.930%
Crecimiento +0.048%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.04%16.01%16.11%17.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.905.825.756.5520.41%17.18%17.39%15.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.87%4.19momio equitativo
EV +0.233%
Ventaja +0.056%
Kelly +0.073%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.49%24.20%23.75%27.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.883.904.2029.41%25.75%25.64%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Napoli (Local): 60.08%; Bologna (Visitante): 16.06%; Empate: 23.87%. Para Bologna (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.23. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.55, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.16%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (26 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.85%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 15.05%EV +5.16%E +0.788%K +0.930%G +0.048% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 24.10%EV -2.39%E -0.585%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.91%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.04%EV +2.75%E +0.430%K +0.510%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -4.54%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -6.28%E -4.02%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV +0.346%E +0.055%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.54%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.68%E -3.61%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -3.67%E -0.611%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.54%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV +0.333%E +0.199%K +0.497%G +0.002% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.67%E -0.611%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -18.86%E -5.55%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.67%E -0.611%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.54%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.67%E -0.611%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.93%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -3.67%E -0.611%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.54%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.88%E -6.59%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -3.67%E -0.611%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.31%E -2.45%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.19%EV -5.68%E -3.61%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -6.88%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.51%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 19:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -7.68%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.93%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.68%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.54%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -7.68%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.93%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -7.68%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.93%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -5.68%E -3.61%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.68%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -10.51%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -5.68%E -3.61%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.68%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -10.51%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -5.68%E -3.61%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -7.68%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -10.51%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -7.68%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.93%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.68%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.31%E -2.45%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -9.88%E -6.59%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.68%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.47%EV -7.40%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 15:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.94%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.57%EV -8.48%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV +0.233%E +0.056%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -10.09%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.93%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -10.09%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.93%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.96%EV -12.88%E -8.89%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.78%EV -10.09%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.31%E -2.45%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 15:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.19%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -13.30%E -2.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -4.54%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.92%EV -11.68%E -7.95%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.68%EV -21.33%E -4.35%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -11.70%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.83% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 19:05 |
Arbitraje (5 combinaciones) +1.05%PointsBet (AU) 1.67 (60.5%) / 1xBet 6.55 (15.4%) / Tipico (DE) 4.20 (24.1%)Ver las 5 combinaciones
| Napoli (Local) | Bologna (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.5%) | 1xBet🎯 6.55 (15.4%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.20 (24.1%) | +1.05% |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.3%) | Marathon Bet🎯 6.40 (15.7%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.20 (24.0%) | +0.690% |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.1%) | 1xBet🎯 6.55 (15.3%) | 1xBet🎯 4.09 (24.5%) | +0.404% |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.1%) | SportsBet🎯 6.25 (16.0%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.20 (23.9%) | +0.311% |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.67 (59.9%) | Marathon Bet🎯 6.40 (15.6%) | 1xBet🎯 4.09 (24.5%) | +0.045% |