默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Napoli v AS Roma

2026-10-24 16:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Napoli (主队)

预测 33.77%2.96公平赔率
EV -2.06%
优势 -0.711%
Kelly -1.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
32.56%33.69%33.86%34.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.752.752.9040.00%36.36%36.36%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

AS Roma (客队)

预测 38.82%2.58公平赔率
EV -2.17%
优势 -0.861%
Kelly -1.43%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.52

博彩公司预测分布
37.97%38.78%38.90%39.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.392.402.5245.45%41.80%41.67%39.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.41%3.65公平赔率
EV +0.037%
优势 +0.010%
Kelly +0.014%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.65

博彩公司预测分布
26.80%27.53%27.24%28.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.373.303.6531.75%29.64%30.30%27.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Napoli (主队):33.77%;AS Roma (客队):38.82%;平局:27.41%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.649。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.650,由此产生+0.037%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.95%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07%EV -2.17%E -0.861%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%EV +0.037%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-11 20:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.93%EV -4.76%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.03%EV -2.98%E -0.841%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 20:44
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.90%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.88%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 21:15
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 20:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 20:19
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 21:05
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.82%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 20:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -10.51%E -3.96%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-12 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 00:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 01:09
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 21:04
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 21:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 21:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 21:04
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.36%EV -9.49%E -3.54%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.77%EV -11.75%E -3.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-12 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -14.59%E -6.63%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-12 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.57%E -6.23%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.65%E -5.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -13.67%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-12 01:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.32%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%4.9%2026-10-11 20:35
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 33.78%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%16.6%2026-10-12 01:05