Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lecce v AS Roma

Kickoff: 2026-08-31 16:30 UTC

Final: Lecce 0–4 AS Roma

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lecce (Local)

Prediction 12.69%7.88fair odd
EV +16.73%
Edge +1.82%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.341%

assuming max odds 9.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.46%12.72%12.59%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.437.509.2016.00%13.46%13.33%10.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AS Roma (Visit)

Prediction 65.39%1.53fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.31%65.26%65.53%67.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.53%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.92%4.56fair odd
EV +0.832%
Edge +0.181%
Kelly +0.231%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.64%22.02%21.88%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.304.314.6025.00%23.23%23.17%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lecce (Local): 12.69%; AS Roma (Visit): 65.39%; Draw: 21.92%. For Lecce (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.88. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.46%EV +16.73%E +1.82%K +2.04%G +0.341%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.31%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.23%EV -5.09%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +7.85%E +0.923%K +1.05%G +0.082%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.46%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV +0.832%E +0.181%K +0.231%G +0.002%2.9%2026-08-31 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +7.85%E +0.923%K +1.05%G +0.082%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.46%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV +0.832%E +0.181%K +0.231%G +0.002%2.9%2026-08-31 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +7.85%E +0.923%K +1.05%G +0.082%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.46%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV +0.832%E +0.181%K +0.231%G +0.002%2.9%2026-08-31 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV +7.85%E +0.923%K +1.05%G +0.082%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.46%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV +0.832%E +0.181%K +0.231%G +0.002%2.9%2026-08-31 16:20
Pinnacle🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.17%EV +1.51%E +0.188%K +0.215%G +0.003%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.36%E -0.302%K -0.389%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-31 16:20
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +1.51%E +0.188%K +0.215%G +0.003%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.81%EV -7.80%E -5.53%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 16:20
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +1.51%E +0.188%K +0.215%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 16:20
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +1.51%E +0.188%K +0.215%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 16:19
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +1.51%E +0.188%K +0.215%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 16:20
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV +1.51%E +0.188%K +0.215%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 16:20
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV +1.51%E +0.188%K +0.215%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV +1.51%E +0.188%K +0.215%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV +1.51%E +0.188%K +0.215%G +0.003%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 16:20
Coolbet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46%EV -1.03%E -0.132%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.69%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.85%EV -2.46%E -0.552%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.40%EV -1.03%E -0.132%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.36%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.40%EV -1.03%E -0.132%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.36%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 01:10
NetBet (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.99%EV -1.67%E -0.215%K -0.247%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.89%EV -7.80%E -5.53%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.94%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 16:20
1xBet🎯7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61%EV -2.43%E -0.316%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.54%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.85%EV -2.68%E -0.603%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 16:20
BetUS🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 12.70%EV -4.20%E -0.557%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.05%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 16:25
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -1.36%E -0.302%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.49%EV -1.91%E -1.27%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 16:20
theScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.67%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 16:15
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.18%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:05
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.09%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:20
Everygame🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.09%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:05
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.09%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 15:44
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.09%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 15:44
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.13%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:05
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 15:50
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 16:15
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.13%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.13%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 16:20
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 16:20
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 16:20
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.84%E -0.645%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 15:45
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -7.38%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.44%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -9.03%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 15:50
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -7.38%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.44%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -9.03%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 15:50
Caesars🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.89%EV -8.01%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 15:56
Fliff🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.58%EV -8.01%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.16%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.09%EV -8.65%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.99%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 16:25
GTbets🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.03%EV -8.65%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.69%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.28%EV -7.72%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 16:20
BetAnything🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -11.18%E -1.60%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 16:25
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -11.18%E -1.60%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:20
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.18%E -1.60%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -1.36%E -0.302%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:10
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.18%E -1.60%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.08%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -11.18%E -1.60%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -11.18%E -1.60%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:25
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -11.18%E -1.60%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 16:20
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -11.18%E -1.60%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.94%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 16:10
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -11.18%E -1.60%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.18%E -1.60%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.94%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:20
BetMGM🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -14.35%E -2.13%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.06%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -5.09%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 16:20
LeoVegas🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -14.35%E -2.13%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:25
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -14.35%E -2.13%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.68%EV -14.99%E -2.24%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.00%EV -7.80%E -5.53%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -17.53%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.09%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -17.53%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.09%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -18.80%E -2.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:20
Neds🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -18.80%E -2.94%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -20.70%E -3.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.36%E -0.302%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -20.70%E -3.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.36%E -0.302%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%0.4%2026-08-31 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-08-31 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-08-31 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-08-31 16:25
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.69%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.54%2.0%2026-08-31 07:35