Idioma:Español
Lazio v Cagliari
Resultado del partido
Lazio (Local)
Predicción 59.10%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.06%59.36%59.22%63.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.551.571.6671.43%64.42%63.69%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cagliari (Visitante)
Predicción 16.96%5.90momio equitativo
EV +3.47%
Ventaja +0.569%
Kelly +0.681%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.82%16.89%16.86%18.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.575.726.1020.00%17.94%17.47%16.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.94%4.18momio equitativo
EV +2.95%
Ventaja +0.686%
Kelly +0.893%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.43%23.75%23.92%24.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.703.933.974.3027.03%25.45%25.19%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Lazio (Local): 59.10%; Cagliari (Visitante): 16.96%; Empate: 23.94%. Para Cagliari (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.90. 7 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.10, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.47%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (26 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -13.13%E -8.93%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -1.62%E -0.279%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV +2.95%E +0.686%K +0.893%G +0.026% | 8.5% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +1.78%E +0.296%K +0.355%G +0.006% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.554%E +0.132%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -2.46%E -0.429%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.84%E -0.449%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-26 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -17.27%E -12.33%K -43.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV +1.78%E +0.296%K +0.355%G +0.006% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -1.84%E -0.449%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.33%EV -1.90%E -1.15%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 16.36%EV +2.12%E +0.352%K +0.422%G +0.009% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.32%EV -3.04%E -0.750%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-10-25 21:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.69%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -6.70%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-26 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -2.46%E -0.429%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +1.78%E +0.296%K +0.355%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.89%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -2.46%E -0.429%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -3.31%E -0.581%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-25 22:10 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -13.13%E -8.93%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV +1.78%E +0.296%K +0.355%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.50%EV -15.49%E -10.83%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV +0.081%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-25 20:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.54%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.58%EV +3.47%E +0.569%K +0.681%G +0.024% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.88%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-26 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -5.45%E -3.40%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.86%EV -4.67%E -0.831%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.93%EV -5.19%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-25 21:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.39%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.34%EV -0.768%E -0.131%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.27%EV -5.67%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-25 21:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -2.46%E -0.429%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.25%EV -16.67%E -11.83%K -40.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.61%EV -11.79%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.70%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.83%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-25 21:27 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -10.95%E -2.08%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-25 20:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.19%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-26 01:21 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.91%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -10.95%E -2.08%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.22%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-25 21:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -10.95%E -2.08%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.22%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-25 23:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -5.45%E -3.40%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -15.19%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -11.42%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-26 00:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -5.45%E -3.40%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -15.19%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -11.42%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-26 00:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -5.45%E -3.40%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -15.19%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -11.42%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-26 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -5.45%E -3.40%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -15.19%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -11.42%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-26 00:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01% | 4.1% | 2026-10-25 22:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93% | 13.3% | 2026-10-25 20:40 |
Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.11%1xBet 1.66 (60.3%) / GTbets 6.10 (16.4%) / Winamax (DE) 4.30 (23.3%)Ver detalles
| Lazio (Local) | Cagliari (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 1.66 (60.3%) | GTbets🎯 6.10 (16.4%) | Winamax (DE)🎯 4.30 (23.3%) | +0.110% |