Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Milan v Parma

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 18:45 UTC

Final: Inter Milan 2–0 Parma

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Milan (Local)

Prediction 79.15%1.26fair odd
EV -0.276%
Edge -0.219%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.32%78.88%79.33%80.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.55%83.33%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Parma (Visit)

Prediction 7.00%14.28fair odd
EV +5.07%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.362%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.28%7.10%6.95%8.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5013.1913.0015.009.52%7.58%7.69%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.85%7.22fair odd
EV +0.822%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.131%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 7.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.31%14.02%13.72%16.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.696.757.2818.18%14.95%14.81%13.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Inter Milan (Local): 79.15%; Parma (Visit): 7.00%; Draw: 13.85%. For Parma (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.28. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.64%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +5.07%E +0.338%K +0.362%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 18:11
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.64%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +5.07%E +0.338%K +0.362%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 18:11
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.64%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +5.07%E +0.338%K +0.362%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.64%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +5.07%E +0.338%K +0.362%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 18:11
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.91%EV -5.02%E -4.19%K -25.12%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV +5.07%E +0.338%K +0.362%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 18:25
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.18%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.71%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.07%E +0.338%K +0.362%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 18:33
Caesars🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.21%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +5.07%E +0.338%K +0.362%G +0.018%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 18:33
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.81%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%14.60I 6.85%NM 6.67%EV +2.26%E +0.155%K +0.167%G +0.004%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.52%EV -0.286%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.46%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +1.56%E +0.108%K +0.116%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 18:40
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -4.23%E -3.50%K -20.16%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.56%EV +1.56%E +0.108%K +0.116%G +0.002%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%EV -11.37%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 18:31
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -4.23%E -3.50%K -20.16%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.56%EV +1.56%E +0.108%K +0.116%G +0.002%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%EV -11.37%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.58%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.93%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.48%EV -0.286%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.68%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.77%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 18:20
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:00
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:00
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:01
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:01
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.71%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.71%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:35
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.71%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.71%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.41%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -13.44%E -2.15%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.14%EV -7.40%E -6.32%K -43.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:11
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.25%EV -8.98%E -7.81%K -59.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -1.94%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.24%EV -11.37%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 18:11
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.99%EV -3.34%E -0.242%K -0.261%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -4.44%E -0.644%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.99%EV -3.34%E -0.242%K -0.261%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -4.44%E -0.644%K -0.753%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 18:11
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.49%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.18%EV -5.44%E -0.403%K -0.435%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 13.32%EV +0.822%E +0.113%K +0.131%G +0.001%3.1%2026-05-03 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.19%E -7.06%K -51.19%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.83%EV -5.44%E -0.403%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -4.23%E -3.50%K -20.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 18:36
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -5.02%E -4.19%K -25.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.02%E -4.19%K -25.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:35
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.02%E -4.19%K -25.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 17:15
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.02%E -4.19%K -25.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:25
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -5.02%E -4.19%K -25.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -13.44%E -2.15%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:36
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.01%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:25
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.02%E -4.19%K -25.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 18:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -7.40%E -6.32%K -43.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:11
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -7.40%E -6.32%K -43.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.40%E -6.32%K -43.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -8.94%E -0.688%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:20
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.96%EV -8.19%E -7.06%K -51.19%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.27%EV -11.74%E -0.932%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 13.77%EV -7.90%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 18:35
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.51%EV -0.276%E -0.219%K -1.06%G +0.000%12.28I 8.14%NM 7.95%EV -13.99%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.53%EV -6.93%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 18:36
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.37%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 18:39
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.37%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 18:21
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -4.23%E -3.50%K -20.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 18:35
BetUS🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -4.23%E -3.50%K -20.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 18:35
BetAnything🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -4.23%E -3.50%K -20.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.71%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.71%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.82%EV -7.21%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:35
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.02%E -4.19%K -25.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:35
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.02%E -4.19%K -25.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.02%E -4.19%K -25.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.02%E -4.19%K -25.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:36
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -7.40%E -6.32%K -43.52%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -15.95%E -1.33%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -23.83%E -4.33%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.53%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.61%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV -19.45%E -1.69%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -22.95%E -2.09%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -5.02%E -4.19%K -25.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -22.95%E -2.09%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:41
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -22.95%E -2.09%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 18:36
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -26.45%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -3.44%E -2.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -26.45%E -2.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-03 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-03 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-03 18:40
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.73%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-05-03 18:40
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.69%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.35%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.95%1.6%2026-05-03 18:41
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.86%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%2.0%2026-05-03 18:35