Inter Milan v Monza

2026-08-23 16:30 — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

Option 1: Inter Milan (Local)

Odds

1.0991.74%Min

1.1884.90%Mean

1.1884.75%Median

1.2480.65%Max

Consensus probabilities

75.08%1.332Min

80.12%1.248Max

77.94%1.283Mean

77.67%1.287Median

77.72%1.287IQM

78.13%1.280Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.24 under the IQM model: 77.72%

EV -3.63%Edge -2.93%Kelly -15.12%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Monza (Visit)

Odds

9.0011.11%Min

12.837.79%Mean

13.007.69%Median

16.006.25%Max

Consensus probabilities

5.88%17.021Min

9.34%10.702Max

7.34%13.625Mean

7.19%13.903Median

7.25%13.792IQM

7.31%13.679Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 16.00 under the IQM model: 7.25%

EV +16.01%Edge +1.00%Kelly +1.07%Growth +0.171%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

5.0020.00%Min

6.1516.26%Mean

6.0016.67%Median

7.5013.33%Max

Consensus probabilities

12.61%7.933Min

17.57%5.690Max

14.72%6.796Mean

15.14%6.607Median

15.03%6.653IQM

14.56%6.866Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 7.50 under the IQM model: 15.03%

EV +12.73%Edge +1.70%Kelly +1.96%Growth +0.249%

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Inter Milan (Local)	Monza (Visit)	Draw ▼	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)	1.18I 84.75% NM 80.12%EV -8.29% E -7.03% K -46.07% G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69% NM 7.27%EV -5.74% E -0.442% K -0.479% G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33% NM 12.61%EV +12.73% E +1.70% K +1.96% G +0.249%	5.8%	2026-06-25 04:54
1xBet	1.24I 80.65% NM 79.22%EV -3.63% E -2.93% K -15.12% G +0.000%	14.60I 6.85% NM 6.73%EV +5.86% E +0.401% K +0.431% G +0.025%	6.99I 14.31% NM 14.05%EV +5.07% E +0.725% K +0.846% G +0.043%	1.8%	2026-06-25 13:00
Winamax (DE)	1.17I 85.47% NM 78.43%EV -9.07% E -7.75% K -53.35% G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70% NM 7.98%EV -16.62% E -1.45% K -1.58% G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81% NM 13.59%EV +1.46% E +0.216% K +0.254% G +0.004%	9.0%	2026-06-25 04:24
Pinnacle	1.20I 83.33% NM 78.00%EV -6.74% E -5.61% K -33.69% G +0.000%	11.90I 8.40% NM 7.87%EV -13.72% E -1.15% K -1.26% G +0.000%	6.62I 15.11% NM 14.14%EV -0.496% E -0.075% K -0.088% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-19 17:30
Marathon Bet	1.23I 81.30% NM 78.28%EV -4.41% E -3.58% K -19.16% G +0.000%	13.50I 7.41% NM 7.13%EV -2.12% E -0.157% K -0.170% G +0.000%	6.60I 15.15% NM 14.59%EV -0.797% E -0.121% K -0.142% G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-25 18:50
SportsBet	1.18I 84.75% NM 79.66%EV -8.29% E -7.03% K -46.07% G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25% NM 5.88%EV +16.01% E +1.00% K +1.07% G +0.171%	6.50I 15.38% NM 14.46%EV -2.30% E -0.354% K -0.418% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-19 13:40
Sky Bet	1.20I 83.33% NM 77.86%EV -6.74% E -5.61% K -33.69% G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69% NM 7.19%EV -5.74% E -0.442% K -0.479% G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00% NM 14.95%EV -6.06% E -0.969% K -1.15% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-19 13:40
betfred_uk	1.22I 81.97% NM 77.84%EV -5.18% E -4.25% K -23.56% G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67% NM 6.33%EV +8.76% E +0.584% K +0.625% G +0.055%	6.00I 16.67% NM 15.83%EV -9.82% E -1.64% K -1.96% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-19 14:00
Betr (AU)	1.20I 83.33% NM 77.78%EV -6.74% E -5.61% K -33.69% G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14% NM 6.67%EV +1.51% E +0.108% K +0.116% G +0.002%	6.00I 16.67% NM 15.56%EV -9.82% E -1.64% K -1.96% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-19 14:00
Bet Victor	1.20I 83.33% NM 77.38%EV -6.74% E -5.61% K -33.69% G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69% NM 7.14%EV -5.74% E -0.442% K -0.479% G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67% NM 15.48%EV -9.82% E -1.64% K -1.96% G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-06-25 18:49
FanDuel	1.18I 84.75% NM 77.67%EV -8.29% E -7.03% K -46.07% G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69% NM 7.05%EV -5.74% E -0.442% K -0.479% G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67% NM 15.28%EV -9.82% E -1.64% K -1.96% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-25 19:40
Paddy Power	1.17I 85.47% NM 78.21%EV -9.07% E -7.75% K -53.35% G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14% NM 6.54%EV +1.51% E +0.108% K +0.116% G +0.002%	6.00I 16.67% NM 15.25%EV -9.82% E -1.64% K -1.96% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-19 13:49
Unibet (UK)	1.17I 85.47% NM 78.21%EV -9.07% E -7.75% K -53.35% G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14% NM 6.54%EV +1.51% E +0.108% K +0.116% G +0.002%	6.00I 16.67% NM 15.25%EV -9.82% E -1.64% K -1.96% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-25 04:26
BoyleSports	1.18I 84.75% NM 76.69%EV -8.29% E -7.03% K -46.07% G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09% NM 8.23%EV -20.25% E -1.84% K -2.02% G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67% NM 15.08%EV -9.82% E -1.64% K -1.96% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-25 04:45
NetBet (FR)	1.09I 91.74% NM 77.96%EV -15.29% E -14.02% K -169.85% G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70% NM 7.39%EV -16.62% E -1.45% K -1.58% G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24% NM 14.65%EV -12.82% E -2.21% K -2.67% G +0.000%	17.7%	2026-06-23 07:29
Betclic (FR)	1.14I 87.72% NM 77.20%EV -11.40% E -10.00% K -81.43% G +0.000%	11.75I 8.51% NM 7.49%EV -14.81% E -1.26% K -1.38% G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39% NM 15.31%EV -13.57% E -2.36% K -2.86% G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-06-25 04:25
Unibet (FR)	1.14I 87.72% NM 77.22%EV -11.40% E -10.00% K -81.43% G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33% NM 7.34%EV -12.99% E -1.08% K -1.18% G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54% NM 15.44%EV -14.32% E -2.51% K -3.05% G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-06-25 04:24
Winamax (FR)	1.12I 89.29% NM 75.08%EV -12.95% E -11.57% K -107.96% G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11% NM 9.34%EV -34.75% E -3.86% K -4.34% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 15.57%EV -18.83% E -3.49% K -4.28% G +0.000%	18.9%	2026-06-25 04:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.17I 85.47% NM 75.10%EV -9.07% E -7.75% K -53.35% G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33% NM 7.32%EV -12.99% E -1.08% K -1.18% G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00% NM 17.57%EV -24.85% E -4.97% K -6.21% G +0.000%	13.8%	2026-06-25 19:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Inter Milan (Local)	Monza (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	1.19I 84.03%	12.50I 8.00%	5.40I 18.52%	10.6%	2026-06-24 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.20I 83.33%	1.06I 94.34%	1.01I 99.01%	176.7%	2026-06-25 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.20I 83.33%	1.06I 94.34%	1.01I 99.01%	176.7%	2026-06-25 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.20I 83.33%	1.06I 94.34%	1.01I 99.01%	176.7%	2026-06-25 11:10