Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genoa v Frosinone

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 13:00 UTC

Final: Genoa 1–1 Frosinone

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genoa (Local)

Prediction 45.13%2.22fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.950%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.81%45.23%45.20%47.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.062.052.1751.55%48.55%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Frosinone (Visit)

Prediction 26.76%3.74fair odd
EV +3.02%
Edge +0.785%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.04%26.69%26.77%27.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.563.513.8530.30%28.08%28.45%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -0.649%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.06%28.08%28.03%29.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.343.353.5031.75%29.99%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genoa (Local): 45.13%; Frosinone (Visit): 26.76%; Draw: 28.11%. For Frosinone (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.02%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV +3.02%E +0.785%K +1.06%G +0.032%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94%EV -3.03%E -0.877%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.02%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV +3.02%E +0.785%K +1.06%G +0.032%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94%EV -3.03%E -0.877%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.02%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV +3.02%E +0.785%K +1.06%G +0.032%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94%EV -3.03%E -0.877%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.02%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV +3.02%E +0.785%K +1.06%G +0.032%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94%EV -3.03%E -0.877%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:40
Coolbet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.00%EV -4.77%E -2.26%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV +1.68%E +0.443%K +0.601%G +0.010%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.46%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 20:15
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.96%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +0.346%E +0.092%K +0.126%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.30%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 09:54
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +0.346%E +0.092%K +0.126%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 15:35
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV +0.346%E +0.092%K +0.126%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 23:50
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.42%EV -2.06%E -0.950%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.42%EV -0.189%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%EV -1.62%E -0.463%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-09 17:35
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -1.62%E -0.463%K -0.649%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 23:50
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:41
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:40
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:39
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.992%E -0.268%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.35%EV -3.87%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV -1.53%E -0.415%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 03:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.35%EV -3.87%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV -1.53%E -0.415%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 03:09
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.02%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -2.33%E -0.638%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 14:16
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -2.33%E -0.638%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.60%EV -4.77%E -2.26%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.43%EV -2.60%E -0.714%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -3.31%E -0.962%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.47%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 07:00
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 23:50
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -10.64%E -5.37%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:40
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 15:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.73%EV -3.87%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 02:15
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:13
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:21
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.99%EV -11.54%E -5.89%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.46%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -12.44%E -6.41%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.98%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.50%EV -5.54%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.52%EV -7.81%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:05
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:15
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 23:45
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 23:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 23:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 02:15
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 22:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:14
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 21:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 02:14
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 07:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 07:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 07:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 07:04
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -4.32%E -2.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:15
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -4.32%E -2.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 23:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 02:15
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 13:40
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -6.57%E -3.18%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:20
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.24%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 14:15
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 10:04
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.43%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 10:04
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 02:15
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 13:05
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:15
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.70%E -3.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-09-09 17:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-09-09 17:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-09-09 17:11
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-09-09 17:11
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-09-09 17:11
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-09-09 17:11