Language:English
Genoa v Fiorentina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Genoa (Local)
Prediction 30.28%3.30fair odd
EV -0.366%
Edge -0.111%
Kelly -0.160%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.42%30.31%30.38%32.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.103.2935.71%32.75%32.26%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fiorentina (Visit)
Prediction 41.29%2.42fair odd
EV -0.900%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.643%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.25%41.30%41.21%42.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.282.282.4047.17%43.89%43.86%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.42%3.52fair odd
EV -0.515%
Edge -0.147%
Kelly -0.206%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.39%28.41%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.313.303.5032.79%30.25%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genoa (Local): 30.28%; Fiorentina (Visit): 41.29%; Draw: 28.42%. For Genoa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.29, with an expected value of -0.366%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.43%EV -0.366%E -0.111%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.86%EV -2.14%E -0.902%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.71%EV -7.34%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 12:41 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.49%EV -2.18%E -0.676%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 41.21%EV -1.31%E -0.549%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.30%EV -1.08%E -0.311%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-30 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.92%EV -2.18%E -0.676%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.66%EV -4.20%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-04 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.92%EV -2.18%E -0.676%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.66%EV -4.20%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-21 12:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%EV -5.85%E -2.57%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-23 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 12:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.47%EV -4.91%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.23%EV -4.20%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.30%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-29 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.65%EV -0.900%E -0.375%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%EV -0.515%E -0.147%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.65%EV -0.900%E -0.375%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%EV -0.515%E -0.147%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-04 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.65%EV -0.900%E -0.375%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%EV -0.515%E -0.147%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.65%EV -0.900%E -0.375%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%EV -0.515%E -0.147%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.04%EV -4.20%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.25%EV -4.21%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 02:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 04:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 04:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 10:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.20%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 04:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-21 02:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-21 10:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 16:16 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 16:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 16:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-21 10:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 12:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 12:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 12:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.12%EV -6.27%E -2.76%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 08:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 13:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 13:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-21 02:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-02 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.42%EV -8.54%E -2.83%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.91%EV -12.46%E -5.88%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 06:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -2.96%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 13:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 15:16 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 15:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.09%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 15:16 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-02 06:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -11.22%E -5.22%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -4.20%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 11:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -4.20%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 11:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -4.20%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -4.20%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 11:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.16%EV -11.57%E -3.96%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -11.22%E -5.22%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -13.31%E -4.36%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-05 12:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -12.18%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -5.85%E -2.57%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -12.18%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -5.85%E -2.57%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -12.18%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -5.85%E -2.57%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.18%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -2.96%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-23 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -15.20%E -5.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-04 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -15.20%E -5.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |