Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genoa v AS Roma

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 17:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genoa (Local)

Prediction 22.01%4.54fair odd
EV +3.65%
Edge +0.775%
Kelly +0.984%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 4.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.47%22.11%21.96%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.304.304.7125.64%23.26%23.26%21.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AS Roma (Visit)

Prediction 47.62%2.10fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.50%47.67%47.62%50.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.952.0554.64%50.92%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.38%3.29fair odd
EV +0.246%
Edge +0.075%
Kelly +0.107%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.59%30.22%30.41%31.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.103.3035.71%32.00%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genoa (Local): 22.01%; AS Roma (Visit): 47.62%; Draw: 30.38%. For Genoa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.71I 21.23%NM 20.61%EV +3.65%E +0.775%K +0.984%G +0.036%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.77%EV -5.24%E -2.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.62%EV -3.70%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV +3.43%E +0.730%K +0.927%G +0.032%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -8.10%E -4.20%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV +0.246%E +0.075%K +0.107%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV +3.43%E +0.730%K +0.927%G +0.032%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -8.10%E -4.20%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV +0.246%E +0.075%K +0.107%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV +3.43%E +0.730%K +0.927%G +0.032%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -8.10%E -4.20%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV +0.246%E +0.075%K +0.107%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯4.62I 21.65%NM 20.87%EV +1.67%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.45%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.67%EV -1.27%E -0.392%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯4.62I 21.65%NM 20.87%EV +1.67%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.45%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.67%EV -1.27%E -0.392%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 16:59
Coolbet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV +1.23%E +0.267%K +0.341%G +0.004%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.29%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.62%EV -3.70%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV +1.23%E +0.267%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.50%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV +0.246%E +0.075%K +0.107%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 16:59
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.23%E +0.267%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -10.48%E -5.58%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.23%E +0.267%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -10.48%E -5.58%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:00
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.23%E +0.267%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -10.48%E -5.58%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:00
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.23%E +0.267%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -10.48%E -5.58%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:00
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.23%E +0.267%K +0.341%G +0.004%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -10.48%E -5.58%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:00
Pinnacle🎯4.56I 21.93%NM 21.31%EV +0.349%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.36%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -3.17%E -0.721%K -0.933%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.44%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.67%EV -4.61%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.17%E -0.721%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.56%EV -5.72%E -2.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -1.27%E -0.392%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 17:00
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -3.17%E -0.721%K -0.933%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 17:00
BetUS🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -3.17%E -0.721%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.94%EV -7.62%E -3.93%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.48%EV -2.18%E -0.678%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 16:58
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -3.17%E -0.721%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.00%EV -6.20%E -3.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 17:00
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.17%E -0.721%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:59
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.17%E -0.721%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:56
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.17%E -0.721%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:59
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.17%E -0.721%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:59
Bovada🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -4.27%E -0.982%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.15%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 16:58
BetAnything🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -4.27%E -0.982%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.15%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 16:59
Everygame🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.22%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:59
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 16:59
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.07%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%EV -1.27%E -0.392%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 17:00
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.78%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 16:59
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -10.96%E -5.86%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 17:00
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.33%EV -11.91%E -6.44%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 16:59
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.78%EV -3.82%E -1.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.78%EV -3.82%E -1.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 17:00
GTbets🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV -7.35%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.89%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -5.22%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 16:59
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV +0.246%E +0.075%K +0.107%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 17:00
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.10%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 16:59
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 16:59
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 16:59
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 16:59
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.92%EV -8.58%E -4.47%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:57
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -9.53%E -5.02%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:59
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -7.62%E -3.93%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 16:59
Fliff🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.80%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 17:00
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -2.39%E -1.16%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -2.39%E -1.16%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 17:00
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -2.39%E -1.16%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 16:59
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:58
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 16:59
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -2.39%E -1.16%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 16:59
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -12.86%E -7.03%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -14.94%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-08 17:00
Bet Right🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -13.08%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -5.72%E -2.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.08%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -7.62%E -3.93%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -1.27%E -0.392%K -0.566%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 17:00
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -14.18%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -2.39%E -1.16%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -14.18%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -2.39%E -1.16%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-08 17:00
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-08 17:00
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.5%2026-03-08 17:00
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.0%2026-03-08 17:00