Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genoa v AC Milan

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 10:00 UTC

Final: Genoa 1–2 AC Milan

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genoa (Local)

Prediction 18.12%5.52fair odd
EV +0.938%
Edge +0.168%
Kelly +0.205%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.38%18.22%18.11%19.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.105.005.5721.28%19.60%20.00%17.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AC Milan (Visit)

Prediction 56.76%1.76fair odd
EV -0.670%
Edge -0.383%
Kelly -0.894%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.08%56.66%56.74%57.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.7563.69%60.19%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.12%3.98fair odd
EV -0.531%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.179%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.96%25.12%25.15%26.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.733.753.9630.30%26.78%26.67%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genoa (Local): 18.12%; AC Milan (Visit): 56.76%; Draw: 25.12%. For Genoa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.938%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯5.57I 17.95%NM 17.38%EV +0.938%E +0.168%K +0.205%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.61%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.01%EV -2.79%E -0.721%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:56
1xBet🎯5.52I 18.12%NM 17.85%EV +0.032%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.28%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.88%EV -0.531%E -0.134%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Betclic (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -0.331%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 07:49
LowVig.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV -2.14%E -0.397%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.08%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06%EV -3.29%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 05:10
BetOnline.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV -2.14%E -0.397%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.08%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06%EV -3.29%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 05:10
Marathon Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.84%EV -2.14%E -0.397%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.34%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.83%EV -2.54%E -0.655%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 07:44
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.14%E -0.397%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 08:00
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -2.14%E -0.397%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -7.06%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -2.14%E -0.397%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -7.06%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.14%E -0.397%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 08:11
BetAnything🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.14%E -0.397%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 08:15
BetUS🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.14%E -0.397%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 08:15
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV -3.96%E -0.746%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.11%EV -3.51%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV -0.782%E -0.198%K -0.265%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV -3.96%E -0.746%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.11%EV -3.51%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV -0.782%E -0.198%K -0.265%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV -3.96%E -0.746%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.11%EV -3.51%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV -0.782%E -0.198%K -0.265%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV -3.96%E -0.746%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.11%EV -3.51%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58%EV -0.782%E -0.198%K -0.265%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Coolbet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.26%EV -3.96%E -0.746%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.27%EV -2.37%E -1.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 05:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.86%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 07:50
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.86%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 05:30
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -4.86%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 07:45
Caesars🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.86%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.06%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:54
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.86%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 08:20
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.86%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:53
Everygame🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.86%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:51
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -5.77%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.29%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 08:20
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -5.77%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:20
NetBet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.62%E -5.35%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:55
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 05:20
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.43%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.06%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 06:35
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -3.51%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.06%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 06:35
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 05:30
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.78%E -3.48%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -3.51%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 06:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -3.51%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 06:35
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -3.51%E -2.06%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 06:35
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:00
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:25
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:25
Bally Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:25
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:25
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.64%E -2.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 05:30
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:45
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.32%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:45
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:44
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:45
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.62%E -5.35%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.06%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 08:20
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 05:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -10.89%E -6.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -17.11%E -5.18%K -7.44%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 08:00
GTbets🎯4.98I 20.08%NM 19.35%EV -9.75%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV -0.670%E -0.383%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.57%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 05:10
Fliff🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.41%EV -10.30%E -2.08%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.61%EV -8.62%E -5.35%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.32%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 08:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.91%E -4.22%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.04%E -0.523%K -0.703%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:20
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.61%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.32%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:30
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -6.91%E -4.22%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -8.32%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -6.91%E -4.22%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -8.32%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -6.91%E -4.22%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -8.32%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -8.62%E -5.35%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -8.62%E -5.35%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 07:25
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -13.02%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -13.02%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -13.02%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:45
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -13.02%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 07:56
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -13.02%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -7.48%E -4.59%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 07:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.92%E -2.93%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.05%E -4.97%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.57%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 07:26
LeoVegas🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.74%EV -14.83%E -3.15%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.10%EV -10.89%E -6.93%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 07:26
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-05-17 08:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-05-17 08:16
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-05-17 08:05
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%1.3%2026-05-17 08:00
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-05-17 07:45