Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frosinone v Juventus

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frosinone (Local)

Prediction 14.43%6.93fair odd
EV +4.73%
Edge +0.651%
Kelly +0.755%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 7.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.54%14.44%14.26%16.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.346.507.2619.23%15.77%15.38%13.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juventus (Visit)

Prediction 63.81%1.57fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.10%63.90%63.93%65.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.451.5173.53%69.54%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.76%4.60fair odd
EV +0.106%
Edge +0.023%
Kelly +0.029%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.42%21.66%21.81%22.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.224.254.6025.64%23.72%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frosinone (Local): 14.43%; Juventus (Visit): 63.81%; Draw: 21.76%. For Frosinone (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯7.26I 13.77%NM 13.54%EV +4.73%E +0.651%K +0.755%G +0.036%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.09%EV -3.64%E -2.41%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%EV +0.106%E +0.023%K +0.029%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-21 08:20
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.07%EV -3.35%E -0.500%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.99%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -2.07%E -0.460%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 06:09
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.77%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 05:49
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:09
PMU (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.24%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.47%E -5.15%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.08%EV -7.68%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.93%EV -10.02%E -7.11%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.78%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-20 06:10
Everygame🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.74%EV -9.84%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.98%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -5.77%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 12:14
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -8.75%E -6.12%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -2.07%E -0.460%K -0.592%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-22 05:49
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -14.04%E -3.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -14.04%E -3.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 00:09
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -13.45%E -2.24%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.66%E -7.62%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.95%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-23 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 14.85%EV -14.89%E -2.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.51%EV -11.94%E -8.65%K -31.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.64%EV -11.86%E -2.93%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-22 05:48
Unibet (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.03%EV -16.33%E -2.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.17%EV -11.94%E -8.65%K -31.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.80%EV -12.95%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-22 05:49
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 16.24%EV -24.99%E -4.81%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.10%EV -13.21%E -9.72%K -36.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.66%EV -15.13%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000%18.4%2026-06-22 05:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.