The School of Odds

Frosinone v Juventus

2026-08-22 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

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Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Frosinone (Local)

Prediction 14.26%7.01fair odd
EV -7.30%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.26%14.26%14.26%14.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.006.426.506.5017%16%15%15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Juventus (Visit)

Prediction 63.93%1.56fair odd
EV -6.66%
Edge -4.56%
Kelly -14.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.32%63.93%63.93%63.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.441.451.451.4669%69%69%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 21.81%4.58fair odd
EV -5.56%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.28%21.81%21.81%22.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.954.224.254.3325%24%24%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.77%EV -6.66%E -4.56%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:09
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.30%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.74%EV -10.87%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.98%EV -7.94%E -5.52%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 12:14
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.43%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.94%E -5.52%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -13.85%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.43%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.94%E -5.52%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -13.85%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.