The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Frosinone v Como

2026-09-20 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frosinone (Local)

Prediction 19.15%5.22fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.230%
Kelly -0.286%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.44%19.19%19.03%20.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.824.805.1623.26%20.74%20.83%19.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Como (Visit)

Prediction 57.62%1.74fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.04%57.43%57.79%59.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.621.621.7166.23%61.86%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.23%4.30fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.295%
Kelly -0.386%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%23.38%23.18%26.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.044.054.2527.78%24.78%24.69%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Frosinone (Local): 19.15%; Como (Visit): 57.62%; Draw: 23.23%. For Frosinone (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.16, with an expected value of -1.19%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 19.11%EV -1.19%E -0.230%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.68%EV -1.48%E -0.863%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.21%EV -1.25%E -0.295%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.4%2026-09-06 20:25
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -2.34%E -0.458%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.86%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.44%EV -1.25%E -0.295%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 23:30
FanDuel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -2.34%E -0.458%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -8.39%E -5.28%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 19.08%EV -3.30%E -0.652%K -0.814%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.70%EV -3.78%E -2.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.22%EV -3.58%E -0.862%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 20:20
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.87%EV -5.51%E -3.36%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 18:15
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -1.48%E -0.863%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 18:40
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.75%EV -7.12%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -9.54%E -6.08%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 18:40
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 18:40
BetMGM🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -7.24%E -4.50%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.76%EV -13.00%E -8.61%K -25.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 18:15
LeoVegas🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 20:35
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.54%E -6.08%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.00%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 18:15
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.14%EV -10.95%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.75%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -5.90%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 23:35
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.14%EV -10.95%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.75%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -5.90%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 23:35
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.66%E -4.11%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 19:54
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.24%E -4.50%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.24%E -4.50%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.24%E -4.50%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.04%EV -17.66%E -4.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.68%EV -12.42%E -8.17%K -23.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%EV -14.03%E -3.79%K -5.20%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 19.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-09-07 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.19%1.10I 90.91%NM 31.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.83%184.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.19%1.10I 90.91%NM 31.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.83%184.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-06 19:55