默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fiorentina v Torino

2026-09-05 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fiorentina (主队)

预测 53.25%1.88公平赔率
EV -0.421%
优势 -0.225%
Kelly -0.484%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
51.04%53.02%53.17%54.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.631.751.751.8761.35%57.10%57.14%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Torino (客队)

预测 19.84%5.04公平赔率
EV +4.18%
优势 +0.795%
Kelly +0.983%
增长率 +0.041%

假设最高赔率为 5.25

博彩公司预测分布
18.18%19.68%19.95%21.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.624.605.2524.39%21.62%21.74%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.91%3.72公平赔率
EV -2.33%
优势 -0.642%
Kelly -0.886%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.63

博彩公司预测分布
26.14%27.30%26.88%30.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.443.503.6332.26%29.07%28.57%27.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Fiorentina (主队):53.25%;Torino (客队):19.84%;平局:26.91%。 对于“Torino (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.04。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为5.25,由此产生+4.18%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%EV -0.421%E -0.225%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV +4.18%E +0.795%K +0.983%G +0.041%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -16.59%E -5.35%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 18:49
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.22%EV -1.49%E -0.803%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.65%EV -0.587%E -0.117%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 27.12%EV -2.33%E -0.642%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-24 15:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.21%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.66%EV -2.77%E -0.565%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-24 15:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -2.77%E -0.565%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 18:14
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -3.14%E -0.872%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 14:44
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -3.14%E -0.872%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 14:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.60%EV -7.73%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 17:48
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.14%E -0.872%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.14%E -0.872%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 14:04
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 15:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 16:48
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 14:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.53%EV -13.20%E -8.10%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.32%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 17:49
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.80%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 14:04
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 14:09
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 17:49
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 16:54
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 15:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 15:44
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-24 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.50%EV -12.67%E -7.72%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.00%EV -18.64%E -4.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-24 17:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 52.78%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.46%5.9%2026-08-24 20:50
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 51.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.65%16.7%2026-08-24 17:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 29.54%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.91%1.08I 92.59%NM 35.55%160.4%2026-08-24 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 29.54%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.91%1.08I 92.59%NM 35.55%160.4%2026-08-24 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-08-24 14:34