Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fiorentina v Sassuolo

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 10:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fiorentina (Local)

Prediction 49.12%2.04fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.26%49.11%49.16%50.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.56%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sassuolo (Visit)

Prediction 22.64%4.42fair odd
EV +2.54%
Edge +0.561%
Kelly +0.720%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 4.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.23%22.78%22.47%25.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.154.204.5327.78%24.11%23.81%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.25%3.54fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.326%
Kelly -0.456%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.57%28.11%28.37%29.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.383.5032.26%29.89%29.59%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fiorentina (Local): 49.12%; Sassuolo (Visit): 22.64%; Draw: 28.25%. For Sassuolo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.27%EV -1.76%E -0.882%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.75%EV +2.54%E +0.561%K +0.720%G +0.018%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.5%2026-04-23 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -5.69%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.86%E +0.414%K +0.532%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.456%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -5.69%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.86%E +0.414%K +0.532%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.456%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -5.69%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.86%E +0.414%K +0.532%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.456%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -5.69%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.86%E +0.414%K +0.532%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.456%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.29%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.52%EV +1.64%E +0.364%K +0.469%G +0.008%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-20 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.29%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.52%EV +1.64%E +0.364%K +0.469%G +0.008%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-20 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.70%EV +0.731%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 12:34
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.71%EV -6.68%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.23%EV +0.731%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.71%EV -6.68%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.23%EV +0.731%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.99%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV -0.401%E -0.091%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.07%EV -6.22%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.12%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -0.401%E -0.091%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -6.22%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 03:48
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.64%EV -8.64%E -4.65%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -1.53%E -0.352%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:19
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.53%E -0.352%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.53%E -0.352%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:19
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.53%E -0.352%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:19
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.53%E -0.352%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:19
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.53%E -0.352%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:20
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.53%E -0.352%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:19
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -1.53%E -0.352%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.33%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%EV -2.66%E -0.620%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -6.68%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -2.66%E -0.620%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 00:30
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.83%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -2.66%E -0.620%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:42
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.83%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -2.66%E -0.620%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -5.69%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -2.66%E -0.620%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:25
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%EV -5.20%E -2.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -2.66%E -0.620%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.71%EV -10.11%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -2.66%E -0.620%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:24
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -6.68%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -3.80%E -0.893%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 03:49
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.93%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.31%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 00:10
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.93%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 06:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.93%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:20
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -4.93%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 03:14
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -4.93%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -4.93%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 11:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -6.68%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.93%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:15
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -6.68%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.93%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:14
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -4.93%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:19
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 17:37
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%EV -6.68%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 01:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 11:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -11.10%E -6.13%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 14:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -11.10%E -6.13%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.46%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 17:35
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.46%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 17:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.46%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.46%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.46%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.63%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.59%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -6.68%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.44%EV -11.04%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.08%EV -7.35%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -11.72%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.55%E -0.740%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 17:24
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -12.85%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:50
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.456%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 01:30
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.68%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.456%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:33
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -10.11%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.98%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-20 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -15.11%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -1.14%E -0.326%K -0.456%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -15.11%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -15.11%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 12:24
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -16.25%E -4.39%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 06:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -16.25%E -4.39%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -16.25%E -4.39%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 06:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -16.25%E -4.39%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 06:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.07%EV -10.11%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -18.51%E -5.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -10.11%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -18.51%E -5.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-24 03:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-24 03:20
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.99%2.1%2026-04-23 22:10