Language:English
Fiorentina v Napoli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fiorentina (Local)
Prediction 29.54%3.38fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.388%
Kelly +0.548%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.98%29.63%29.53%31.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.153.4333.33%31.60%31.75%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Napoli (Visit)
Prediction 41.57%2.41fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.805%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.59%41.58%41.57%43.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3646.51%44.26%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.350%
Kelly -0.494%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.69%28.79%28.90%29.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.253.4232.26%30.68%30.72%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fiorentina (Local): 29.54%; Napoli (Visit): 41.57%; Draw: 28.89%. For Fiorentina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.98%EV +1.33%E +0.388%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.03%EV -7.30%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.99%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 10:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.15%EV -1.33%E -0.398%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.26%EV -1.90%E -0.805%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.59%EV -4.95%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.90%EV -1.33%E -0.398%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.71%EV -6.06%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.90%EV -1.33%E -0.398%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.71%EV -6.06%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.90%EV -1.33%E -0.398%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.71%EV -6.06%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.25%EV -1.92%E -0.578%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.56%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.90%EV -2.93%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV -2.51%E -0.761%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.43%EV -2.32%E -0.986%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.06%EV -3.22%E -0.961%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV -2.51%E -0.761%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.43%EV -2.32%E -0.986%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.06%EV -3.22%E -0.961%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV -2.51%E -0.761%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.43%EV -2.32%E -0.986%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.06%EV -3.22%E -0.961%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.50%EV -2.51%E -0.761%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.43%EV -2.32%E -0.986%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.06%EV -3.22%E -0.961%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.51%E -0.761%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -2.51%E -0.761%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.14%EV -3.10%E -0.945%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.31%EV -5.82%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.11%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.07%EV -8.14%E -3.68%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -1.20%E -0.350%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 10:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 10:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.27%EV -3.98%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.46%EV -3.22%E -0.961%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 10:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 10:18 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 10:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -7.72%E -3.48%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.39%EV -7.83%E -2.51%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.65%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.96%EV -5.24%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 10:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 10:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.64%EV -6.89%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 10:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -7.30%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -7.30%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -7.30%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -7.30%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -7.30%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 10:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |