默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fiorentina v Como

2026-10-18 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fiorentina (主队)

预测 28.67%3.49公平赔率
EV -0.788%
优势 -0.228%
Kelly -0.321%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.46

博彩公司预测分布
27.75%28.69%28.69%29.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.233.253.4634.48%30.93%30.77%28.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

Como (客队)

预测 45.44%2.20公平赔率
EV -2.75%
优势 -1.28%
Kelly -2.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.14

博彩公司预测分布
44.62%45.48%45.35%46.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.882.042.052.1453.19%49.07%48.78%46.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.88%3.86公平赔率
EV -0.356%
优势 -0.092%
Kelly -0.125%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.71%25.84%25.96%26.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.623.603.8529.85%27.62%27.78%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Fiorentina (主队):28.67%;Como (客队):45.44%;平局:25.88%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.86。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.85,期望值为-0.356%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 28.45%EV -0.788%E -0.228%K -0.321%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.99%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%EV -0.356%E -0.092%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-21 11:18
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.51%E -0.738%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.46%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.48%E -2.63%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.57%EV -3.20%E -0.856%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 11:17
Pinnacle🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -4.52%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -5.02%E -2.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 11:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.10%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 10:24
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -1.65%E -0.434%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 10:24
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -1.65%E -0.434%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 10:39
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -1.65%E -0.434%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 10:39
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 10:24
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 10:24
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.62%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 10:24
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 10:39
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-21 11:14
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-21 11:14
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-21 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-21 11:14
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.11%E -4.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 10:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.84%E -3.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 10:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.11%E -4.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 10:24
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -8.20%E -4.06%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-21 10:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 28.63%EV -10.54%E -3.38%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.34%EV -10.47%E -5.32%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.04%EV -11.23%E -3.27%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-21 10:23
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.11%E -4.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-21 10:24
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.38%E -5.84%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-21 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.65%EV -14.56%E -7.75%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-21 10:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.62%EV -16.85%E -5.81%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.74%EV -12.75%E -6.64%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-21 10:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 29.10%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.50%16.1%2026-09-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-21 11:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-21 11:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-21 12:04