The School of Odds
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Como v Sassuolo

2026-10-24 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Como (Local)

Prediction 66.42%1.51fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -8.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.02%66.39%66.43%67.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4575.19%71.56%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sassuolo (Visit)

Prediction 13.34%7.49fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.187%
Kelly +0.215%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 7.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.57%13.37%13.43%14.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.816.757.6017.24%14.68%14.81%13.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.23%4.94fair odd
EV +3.19%
Edge +0.625%
Kelly +0.777%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.82%20.24%20.14%21.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.624.605.1024.39%21.65%21.74%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Como (Local): 66.42%; Sassuolo (Visit): 13.34%; Draw: 20.23%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.94. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.10, producing a positive expected value of +3.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.20%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93%EV +1.42%E +0.187%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%EV +3.19%E +0.625%K +0.777%G +0.025%1.7%2026-10-11 20:49
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.01%E -5.01%K -17.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -6.59%E -0.941%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +1.16%E +0.233%K +0.291%G +0.003%5.7%2026-10-12 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -7.01%E -5.01%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -9.92%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +1.16%E +0.233%K +0.291%G +0.003%6.2%2026-10-12 00:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.78%EV -6.34%E -4.50%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.91%EV -1.25%E -0.169%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV +0.152%E +0.031%K +0.039%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 20:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.01%E -5.01%K -17.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -6.59%E -0.941%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.89%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-12 00:19
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.01%E -5.01%K -17.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -6.59%E -0.941%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.89%E -0.820%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 21:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -7.01%E -5.01%K -17.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +0.087%E +0.012%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -4.91%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 21:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.01%E -5.01%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.26%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.93%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 21:05
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.01%E -5.01%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.26%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.93%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 21:49
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.01%E -5.01%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.26%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.93%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 21:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.01%E -5.01%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.26%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.93%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 21:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.01%E -5.01%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.26%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.93%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 21:50
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.17%EV -5.02%E -3.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.26I 13.77%NM 13.03%EV -3.12%E -0.429%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.80%EV -7.94%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 21:15
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.01%E -5.01%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -13.26%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.95%E -1.99%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 23:24
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -7.01%E -5.01%K -17.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -9.92%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.98%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -6.59%E -0.941%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -11.99%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -9.67%E -7.11%K -26.85%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.54%EV -11.92%E -1.81%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -13.00%E -3.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-11 21:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.45%EV -11.66%E -8.77%K -35.33%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.00%EV -9.25%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -13.00%E -3.02%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.02%EV -10.33%E -7.65%K -29.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.90%EV -22.60%E -3.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.08%EV -17.05%E -4.16%K -5.50%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-11 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.51%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.21%3.9%2026-10-11 20:55
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 64.00%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.71%16.6%2026-10-11 20:55