Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cagliari v Lecce

Kickoff: 2026-09-07 16:30 UTC

Final: Cagliari 1–0 Lecce

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cagliari (Local)

Prediction 41.93%2.38fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.622%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.06%41.91%41.91%46.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.252.3547.62%44.77%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lecce (Visit)

Prediction 26.53%3.77fair odd
EV +13.57%
Edge +3.17%
Kelly +4.14%
Growth +0.561%

assuming max odds 4.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.59%26.56%26.55%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.563.534.2830.30%28.10%28.33%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.53%3.17fair odd
EV +0.910%
Edge +0.284%
Kelly +0.414%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.91%31.53%31.54%33.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.993.003.2035.09%33.47%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cagliari (Local): 41.93%; Lecce (Visit): 26.53%; Draw: 31.53%. For Lecce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.03%EV -11.94%E -5.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.59%EV +13.57%E +3.17%K +4.14%G +0.561%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -2.87%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 04:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.46%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -0.495%E -0.132%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%EV -2.24%E -0.724%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.46%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -0.495%E -0.132%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%EV -2.24%E -0.724%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.46%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -0.495%E -0.132%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%EV -2.24%E -0.724%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.46%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -0.495%E -0.132%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%EV -2.24%E -0.724%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 16:25
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.495%E -0.132%K -0.180%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 16:10
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.73%EV -2.30%E -0.987%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.28%EV -1.82%E -0.492%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 16:25
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.22%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%EV -1.82%E -0.492%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.53%EV -2.87%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-07 16:24
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -1.82%E -0.492%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.82%E -0.492%K -0.675%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -1.82%E -0.492%K -0.675%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -2.09%E -0.566%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.99%EV -4.77%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -2.09%E -0.566%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.99%EV -4.77%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.20%EV -4.40%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.15%EV -2.35%E -0.639%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.65%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 16:24
GTbets🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.78%EV -6.07%E -2.71%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.11%EV -2.62%E -0.713%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.11%EV -2.87%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 16:10
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -3.15%E -0.863%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 16:25
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.15%E -0.863%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 16:07
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.15%E -0.863%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 16:25
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.82%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -4.21%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -2.24%E -0.724%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:25
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.50%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91%EV +0.910%E +0.284%K +0.414%G +0.004%4.5%2026-09-07 16:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -4.40%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -2.24%E -0.724%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 16:15
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 16:25
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 15:50
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 15:50
Caesars🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 16:11
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 16:25
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 16:25
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 16:25
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.13%EV -6.91%E -3.11%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.49%EV -6.33%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.38%EV -6.03%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 16:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -0.667%E -0.212%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -1.46%E -0.622%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -10.13%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.24%E -0.724%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 16:10
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 16:15
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 16:15
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 16:15
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 16:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -3.82%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 16:20
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.24%E -0.724%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 16:10
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 16:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -8.59%E -3.94%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:25
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -8.59%E -3.94%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -8.59%E -3.94%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 15:40
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 16:20
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 16:25
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 16:15
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.77%EV -9.01%E -4.15%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.58%EV -9.50%E -3.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 16:24
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 16:20
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.26%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-07 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.26%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-07 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.26%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-07 16:20
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%0.6%2026-09-07 16:25
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%0.9%2026-09-07 16:06
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-09-07 16:25