Idioma:Español
Cagliari v Inter Milan
Resultado del partido
Cagliari (Local)
Predicción 13.97%7.16momio equitativo
EV +4.74%
Ventaja +0.632%
Kelly +0.729%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.70%13.86%14.02%16.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.406.636.507.5018.52%15.08%15.38%13.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Inter Milan (Visitante)
Predicción 63.45%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -5.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.10%63.43%63.29%64.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.471.481.5370.42%67.82%67.57%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.58%4.43momio equitativo
EV -0.853%
Ventaja -0.194%
Kelly -0.252%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.92%22.71%22.69%25.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.074.004.3926.32%24.58%25.00%22.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cagliari (Local): 13.97%; Inter Milan (Visitante): 63.45%; Empate: 22.58%. Para Cagliari (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.16. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 7.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.74%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +4.74%E +0.632%K +0.729%G +0.035% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.24%EV -2.92%E -1.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -14.18%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 16:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.36I 13.59%NM 13.36%EV +2.78%E +0.378%K +0.438%G +0.012% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.25%EV -2.92%E -1.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.39%EV -0.853%E -0.194%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-23 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.38%EV +0.549%E +0.076%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.22%EV -4.82%E -3.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -2.89%E -0.671%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.09%EV +0.549%E +0.076%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.99%EV -8.00%E -5.52%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -2.89%E -0.671%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 15:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.61%EV -1.82%E -0.260%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.23%EV -5.46%E -3.66%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.15%EV -2.43%E -0.563%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -2.24%E -0.321%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -6.09%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -2.89%E -0.671%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -2.24%E -0.321%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -4.82%E -3.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -9.66%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -2.24%E -0.321%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -8.00%E -5.52%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -13.05%E -3.39%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -5.74%E -0.850%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -4.82%E -3.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -7.40%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV -5.74%E -0.850%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -5.46%E -3.66%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.40%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.46%EV -7.83%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.81%EV -3.56%E -2.34%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.14%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.23%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -4.82%E -3.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.66%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.23%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -4.82%E -3.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.66%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.23%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -4.82%E -3.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.66%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.23%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -6.09%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.40%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.23%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.09%EV -4.82%E -3.22%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -10.79%E -2.73%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -9.23%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.63%E -5.99%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -5.14%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.23%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.63%E -5.99%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.66%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.23%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.63%E -5.99%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.66%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.23%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.63%E -5.99%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.66%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.23%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.63%E -5.99%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.66%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.23%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.63%E -5.99%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.66%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -9.23%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.63%E -5.99%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.66%E -2.42%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.65%EV -12.72%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.73%EV -7.36%E -5.04%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.61%EV -8.53%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 16:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -14.81%E -2.43%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.13%EV -8.00%E -5.52%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -11.92%E -3.06%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -17.61%E -2.98%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.37%EV -6.09%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.14%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.07%EV -24.59%E -4.55%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.10%EV -9.90%E -6.97%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -14.18%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.71% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.24% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.24% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.24% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.35% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 19:35 |