Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bologna v Lecce

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 16:00 UTC

Final: Bologna 2–0 Lecce

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bologna (Local)

Prediction 51.42%1.94fair odd
EV -0.245%
Edge -0.126%
Kelly -0.261%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.77%51.51%51.37%56.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.811.831.9464.52%55.26%54.64%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lecce (Visit)

Prediction 20.28%4.93fair odd
EV +6.08%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.087%

assuming max odds 5.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.55%20.21%20.40%22.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.744.705.2325.00%21.11%21.28%19.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.30%3.53fair odd
EV +0.457%
Edge +0.129%
Kelly +0.179%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%28.29%28.24%29.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.353.5533.33%29.80%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bologna (Local): 51.42%; Lecce (Visit): 20.28%; Draw: 28.30%. For Lecce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.10%EV -6.42%E -3.52%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.48%EV +6.08%E +1.16%K +1.44%G +0.087%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 01:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.10%EV -6.42%E -3.52%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.48%EV +6.08%E +1.16%K +1.44%G +0.087%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 01:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.68%EV +5.47%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.071%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV +0.457%E +0.129%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.68%EV +5.47%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.071%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV +0.457%E +0.129%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-12 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.68%EV +5.47%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.071%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV +0.457%E +0.129%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-12 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.68%EV +5.47%E +1.05%K +1.30%G +0.071%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV +0.457%E +0.129%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-12 15:29
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.64%EV -3.33%E -1.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.03%EV +3.44%E +0.674%K +0.839%G +0.029%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.33%EV -6.33%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 15:29
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.03%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.67%EV +3.44%E +0.674%K +0.839%G +0.029%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 15:00
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.94%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.82%EV +2.43%E +0.480%K +0.599%G +0.015%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.86%EV -3.33%E -1.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.46%EV +1.61%E +0.322%K +0.402%G +0.006%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.68%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-12 15:30
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +1.41%E +0.282%K +0.353%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV +1.41%E +0.282%K +0.353%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 15:29
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.99%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV +1.41%E +0.282%K +0.353%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -2.37%E -0.688%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.99%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV +1.41%E +0.282%K +0.353%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -2.37%E -0.688%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.99%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV +1.41%E +0.282%K +0.353%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -2.37%E -0.688%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.99%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV +1.41%E +0.282%K +0.353%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -2.37%E -0.688%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.99%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV +1.41%E +0.282%K +0.353%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -2.37%E -0.688%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.99%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV +1.41%E +0.282%K +0.353%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -2.37%E -0.688%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.99%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV +1.41%E +0.282%K +0.353%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -2.37%E -0.688%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -11.04%E -6.38%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV +1.41%E +0.282%K +0.353%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -11.56%E -6.72%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.41%E +0.282%K +0.353%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 15:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.63%EV -20.30%E -13.10%K -36.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV +1.41%E +0.282%K +0.353%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-27 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.28%EV -5.39%E -2.93%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.43%EV +0.397%E +0.080%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 15:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.42%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -0.617%E -0.126%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -0.958%E -0.274%K -0.383%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -13.61%E -8.10%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -0.617%E -0.126%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:30
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.63%EV -5.39%E -2.93%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -1.63%E -0.336%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 15:30
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.65%E -0.551%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.65%E -0.551%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 15:29
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.30%EV -4.36%E -2.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.96%EV -3.05%E -0.638%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.74%EV -6.05%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -3.84%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -3.66%E -0.770%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.28%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -3.66%E -0.770%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 15:30
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%EV -0.245%E -0.126%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.29%EV -1.52%E -0.438%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-12 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.92%EV -10.53%E -6.05%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -11.56%E -6.72%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -11.56%E -6.72%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.67%E -0.994%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.71%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 15:29
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -0.958%E -0.274%K -0.383%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 15:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -5.39%E -2.93%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -2.37%E -0.688%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 15:30
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 15:28
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 15:30
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 15:30
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -3.84%E -2.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 14:57
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 15:30
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 15:30
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 15:30
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.70%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -3.33%E -1.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.42%E -3.52%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 15:30
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 15:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -6.93%E -3.83%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 15:30
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.44%E -4.14%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:29
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.41%EV -3.33%E -1.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -9.74%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.41%EV -3.33%E -1.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -9.74%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -6.42%E -3.52%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -10.76%E -2.45%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 15:30
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -11.77%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 15:30
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -6.42%E -3.52%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -13.80%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 15:30
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -14.81%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 15:30
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -14.81%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -14.81%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -14.81%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.62%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -11.04%E -6.38%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -18.87%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -15.11%E -5.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-12 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.93%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.93%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.93%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.93%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.43%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-12 15:30
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%1.4%2026-04-12 15:30