StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atalanta BC v Venezia

2026-10-12 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Matchresultat

31 spelbolag (7 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atalanta BC (Hemma)

Prognos 56.59%1.77rättvist odds
EV -0.967%
Fördel -0.553%
Kelly -1.29%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.22%56.64%56.45%58.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.531.651.651.7565.36%60.67%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Venezia (Borta)

Prognos 19.17%5.22rättvist odds
EV +1.39%
Fördel +0.262%
Kelly +0.323%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.29

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.93%19.16%19.08%20.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.684.605.2923.81%21.35%21.74%18.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.24%4.12rättvist odds
EV +1.82%
Fördel +0.434%
Kelly +0.570%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.95%24.20%24.46%25.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.553.944.004.2028.17%25.35%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Atalanta BC (Hemma): 56.59%; Venezia (Borta): 19.17%; Oavgjort: 24.24%. För Oavgjort motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.12. 4 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.20, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +1.82%.

Spelbolagsodds (31 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.09%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.82%E +0.434%K +0.570%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-16 13:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.09%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.82%E +0.434%K +0.570%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-16 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.09%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.82%E +0.434%K +0.570%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-16 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.09%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.82%E +0.434%K +0.570%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-16 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.00%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -8.96%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -0.600%E -0.146%K -0.193%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -0.338%E -0.065%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 20:10
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:40
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:40
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 14:30
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 19:50
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 19:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 13:41
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 13:40
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.26%EV -0.967%E -0.553%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.75%EV +0.620%E +0.118%K +0.146%G +0.001%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.99%EV -4.48%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-16 19:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -4.36%E -2.58%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.17%E -0.834%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 20:11
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.05%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.67%E -3.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 13:41
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.05%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.67%E -3.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.23%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.74%EV -2.25%E -0.442%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.02%EV -7.39%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 19:50
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.79%EV -5.49%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.93%EV +1.39%E +0.262%K +0.323%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -9.09%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -9.92%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.30%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -13.42%E -8.77%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -9.92%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -10.30%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-16 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.91%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.64%EV -11.99%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-16 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.22%EV -11.72%E -7.51%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -19.50%E -4.64%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.27%EV -13.93%E -3.93%K -5.46%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-16 20:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 54.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.28%16.4%2026-09-16 20:05
Arbitrage (4 kombinationer) +0.14%1xBet 1.75 (57.2%) / Pinnacle 5.29 (18.9%) / Unibet (SE) 4.20 (23.8%)Visa alla 4 kombinationer
Atalanta BC (Hemma)Venezia (Borta)OavgjortMarginal
1xBet🎯 1.75 (57.2%)Pinnacle🎯 5.29 (18.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.20 (23.8%)+0.144%
1xBet🎯 1.75 (57.2%)Pinnacle🎯 5.29 (18.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.20 (23.8%)+0.144%
1xBet🎯 1.75 (57.2%)Pinnacle🎯 5.29 (18.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.20 (23.8%)+0.144%
1xBet🎯 1.75 (57.2%)Pinnacle🎯 5.29 (18.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.20 (23.8%)+0.144%