Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atalanta BC v Venezia

2026-10-12 16:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atalanta BC (Local)

Prévision 56.59%1.77cote équitable
EV -0.967%
Avantage -0.553%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.22%56.64%56.45%58.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.651.651.7565.36%60.67%60.61%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Venezia (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.17%5.22cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +0.262%
Kelly +0.323%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.93%19.16%19.08%20.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.684.605.2923.81%21.35%21.74%18.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.24%4.12cote équitable
EV +1.82%
Avantage +0.434%
Kelly +0.570%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.95%24.20%24.46%25.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.944.004.2028.17%25.35%25.00%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Atalanta BC (Local) : 56.59% ; Venezia (Visiteur) : 19.17% ; Match nul : 24.24%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.12. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.20, pour une espérance positive de +1.82%.

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.09%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.82%E +0.434%K +0.570%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-16 13:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.09%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.82%E +0.434%K +0.570%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-16 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.09%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.82%E +0.434%K +0.570%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-16 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.09%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.82%E +0.434%K +0.570%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-16 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.00%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -8.96%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -0.600%E -0.146%K -0.193%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -0.338%E -0.065%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 20:10
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:40
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:40
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 14:30
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 19:50
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 19:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 13:41
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.75%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 13:40
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.26%EV -0.967%E -0.553%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.75%EV +0.620%E +0.118%K +0.146%G +0.001%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.99%EV -4.48%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-16 19:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -4.36%E -2.58%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.17%E -0.834%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 20:11
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.05%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.67%E -3.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 13:41
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.05%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.67%E -3.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.23%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.74%EV -2.25%E -0.442%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.02%EV -7.39%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 19:50
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.79%EV -5.49%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.93%EV +1.39%E +0.262%K +0.323%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -9.09%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -9.92%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.30%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -13.42%E -8.77%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -9.92%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -10.30%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-16 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.91%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -11.84%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.64%EV -11.99%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-16 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.22%EV -11.72%E -7.51%K -20.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -19.50%E -4.64%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.27%EV -13.93%E -3.93%K -5.46%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-16 20:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 54.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.28%16.4%2026-09-16 20:05
Arbitrage (4 combinaisons) +0.14%1xBet 1.75 (57.2%) / Pinnacle 5.29 (18.9%) / Unibet (SE) 4.20 (23.8%)Afficher les 4 combinaisons
Atalanta BC (Local)Venezia (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
1xBet🎯 1.75 (57.2%)Pinnacle🎯 5.29 (18.9%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.20 (23.8%)+0.144%
1xBet🎯 1.75 (57.2%)Pinnacle🎯 5.29 (18.9%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.20 (23.8%)+0.144%
1xBet🎯 1.75 (57.2%)Pinnacle🎯 5.29 (18.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.20 (23.8%)+0.144%
1xBet🎯 1.75 (57.2%)Pinnacle🎯 5.29 (18.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.20 (23.8%)+0.144%