Atalanta BC v Sassuolo

2026-08-22 13:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

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Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

62%

17%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atalanta BC (Local)

Prediction 61.54%1.62fair odd

EV -6.46%

Edge -4.25%

Kelly -12.42%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.07%61.54%61.54%61.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.491.511.511.5267%66%66%66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sassuolo (Visit)

Prediction 16.59%6.03fair odd

EV -7.07%

Edge -1.26%

Kelly -1.54%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

16.59%16.59%16.59%17.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

5.105.535.605.6020%18%18%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 21.87%4.57fair odd

EV -7.07%

Edge -1.66%

Kelly -2.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.87%21.87%21.87%22.38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.004.224.254.2525%24%24%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -6.46%E -4.25%K -12.42%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 00:09
Grosvenor	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 00:35
Bally Bet	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 00:09
PMU (FR)	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -7.07%E -1.26%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-22 00:10
LiveScore Bet	1.49I 67.11%NM 60.07%EV -8.30%E -5.57%K -16.95%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -15.37%E -3.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.54%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet	1.49I 67.11%NM 60.07%EV -8.30%E -5.57%K -16.95%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -15.37%E -3.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.54%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-07-22 00:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.