Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AS Roma v Lazio

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 10:00 UTC

Final: AS Roma 2–0 Lazio

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AS Roma (Local)

Prediction 63.28%1.58fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.98%63.31%63.21%65.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.491.5469.93%67.27%67.11%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lazio (Visit)

Prediction 14.51%6.89fair odd
EV +13.15%
Edge +1.69%
Kelly +1.93%
Growth +0.254%

assuming max odds 7.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.58%14.44%14.52%16.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.456.507.8017.24%15.51%15.38%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.22%4.50fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.509%
Kelly -0.659%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.13%22.25%22.27%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.204.204.4027.78%23.82%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AS Roma (Local): 63.28%; Lazio (Visit): 14.51%; Draw: 22.22%. For Lazio (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.89. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.07%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.60%EV +13.15%E +1.69%K +1.93%G +0.254%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%EV -2.24%E -0.509%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-17 05:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.04%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.58%EV +11.70%E +1.52%K +1.75%G +0.204%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.38%EV -3.80%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 05:05
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +8.80%E +1.17%K +1.35%G +0.119%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 05:18
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.99%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.80%EV +1.55%E +0.221%K +0.258%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV -3.35%E -0.771%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 08:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.99%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.80%EV +1.55%E +0.221%K +0.258%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV -3.35%E -0.771%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 08:10
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV +1.55%E +0.221%K +0.258%G +0.004%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 05:20
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.53%EV -3.82%E -2.51%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 14.12%EV -0.774%E -0.113%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.35%EV -4.02%E -0.930%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 07:56
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.18%EV -6.99%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -1.35%E -0.199%K -0.233%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 06:50
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.04%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.38%EV -2.08%E -0.308%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 08:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.36%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.36%EV -2.08%E -0.308%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%EV -3.35%E -0.771%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 05:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.36%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.36%EV -2.08%E -0.308%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%EV -3.35%E -0.771%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 05:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.36%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.36%EV -2.08%E -0.308%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%EV -3.35%E -0.771%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 05:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.36%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.36%EV -2.08%E -0.308%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%EV -3.35%E -0.771%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 05:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -2.08%E -0.308%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 05:05
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.69%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.69I 14.95%NM 14.43%EV -2.95%E -0.441%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.88%EV -6.24%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 01:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.55%EV -4.26%E -0.645%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -2.24%E -0.509%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 08:15
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -2.24%E -0.509%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:05
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.82%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 04:58
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.82%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 05:00
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.82%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 05:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 08:10
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 04:05
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 16:29
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 03:23
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 04:59
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:30
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 16:30
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.87%EV -6.99%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -3.80%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:30
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 17:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -2.24%E -0.509%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 07:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 07:29
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.71%E -0.878%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -3.82%E -2.51%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.16%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 17:14
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -3.82%E -2.51%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.16%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.87%EV -7.16%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 08:15
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.70%EV -9.52%E -6.65%K -22.13%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.35%EV -7.88%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.95%EV -7.80%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 08:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -9.33%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -2.24%E -0.509%K -0.659%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.43%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -9.33%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 19:35
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.43%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -9.33%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 19:35
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.43%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -9.33%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 19:35
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.43%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -9.33%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -9.33%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -9.33%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -9.33%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 19:31
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.01%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.05%EV -11.51%E -1.89%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 00:30
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.01%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.05%EV -11.51%E -1.89%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 00:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.01%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.05%EV -11.51%E -1.89%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.68%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -11.51%E -1.89%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 08:16
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.96%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.24%E -0.509%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.96%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.24%E -0.509%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -12.96%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -2.24%E -0.509%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:15
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.96%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 04:05
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.68%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -12.96%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -12.24%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 05:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.96%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.68%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -6.99%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -12.96%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -12.24%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 00:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -12.96%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -20.02%E -5.56%K -7.70%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -15.86%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -2.24%E -0.509%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:15
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -15.86%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -2.24%E -0.509%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:16
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -6.99%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -15.86%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -4.46%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 08:15
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.81%EV -9.52%E -6.65%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.24%EV -15.86%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.96%EV -14.46%E -3.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-17 00:26
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-05-17 08:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-05-17 08:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-05-17 08:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-05-17 08:16
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-05-17 08:16
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.01%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.63%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-05-17 05:36