Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Milan v Lecce

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 18:45 UTC

Final: AC Milan 3–0 Lecce

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Milan (Local)

Prediction 77.02%1.30fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -11.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.54%77.13%76.95%78.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2684.75%81.64%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lecce (Visit)

Prediction 7.54%13.26fair odd
EV +11.20%
Edge +0.760%
Kelly +0.815%
Growth +0.091%

assuming max odds 14.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.59%7.55%7.55%8.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5012.3712.0014.759.52%8.09%8.33%6.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.44%6.48fair odd
EV +3.44%
Edge +0.513%
Kelly +0.603%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 6.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.09%15.32%15.50%16.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.126.006.7017.54%16.33%16.67%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AC Milan (Local): 77.02%; Lecce (Visit): 7.54%; Draw: 15.44%. For Lecce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.26. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.44%EV -4.49%E -3.62%K -18.72%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.59%EV +11.20%E +0.760%K +0.815%G +0.091%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.96%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-20 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -4.49%E -3.62%K -18.72%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.68%EV +9.32%E +0.643%K +0.690%G +0.064%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV -1.20%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-20 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -4.49%E -3.62%K -18.72%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.68%EV +9.32%E +0.643%K +0.690%G +0.064%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV -1.20%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-20 18:39
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17%EV -4.49%E -3.62%K -18.72%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.68%EV +9.32%E +0.643%K +0.690%G +0.064%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV -1.20%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-20 18:39
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.47%EV -3.72%E -2.98%K -14.89%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.92%EV +5.55%E +0.396%K +0.427%G +0.024%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.62%EV -4.28%E -0.691%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 18:23
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -6.80%E -5.62%K -32.39%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +5.55%E +0.396%K +0.427%G +0.024%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 18:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +5.55%E +0.396%K +0.427%G +0.024%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 18:34
BetUS🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.69%EV -5.26%E -4.28%K -22.88%G +0.000%13.85I 7.22%NM 6.90%EV +4.42%E +0.319%K +0.344%G +0.015%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.41%EV -4.28%E -0.691%K -0.824%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 18:39
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.67%EV -3.72%E -2.98%K -14.89%G +0.000%13.57I 7.37%NM 7.06%EV +2.31%E +0.170%K +0.184%G +0.004%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.27%EV -9.07%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.47%EV -2.95%E -2.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.51%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-20 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.47%EV -2.95%E -2.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.51%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-20 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.47%EV -2.95%E -2.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.51%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-20 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.47%EV -2.95%E -2.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.51%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-20 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.10%EV -4.49%E -3.62%K -18.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.55%EV -5.05%E -0.822%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 18:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.20%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.46%EV +1.89%E +0.287%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.8%2026-09-20 18:39
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -3.72%E -2.98%K -14.89%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 18:39
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.80%EV -4.49%E -3.62%K -18.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 18:32
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.80%EV -4.49%E -3.62%K -18.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 18:09
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.58%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -7.57%E -6.31%K -37.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.09%EV +3.44%E +0.513%K +0.603%G +0.021%6.0%2026-09-20 18:29
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 18:24
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -7.57%E -6.31%K -37.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 18:19
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -7.57%E -6.31%K -37.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 18:24
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -7.57%E -6.31%K -37.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 18:03
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -7.57%E -6.31%K -37.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 18:03
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -9.11%E -7.72%K -50.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -1.99%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 18:19
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.80%EV -3.72%E -2.98%K -14.89%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.56%EV -4.25%E -0.335%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.64%EV -5.21%E -0.848%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.72%EV -5.26%E -4.28%K -22.88%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -5.76%E -0.461%K -0.501%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.49%E -3.62%K -18.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV -5.76%E -0.461%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -12.00%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.16%EV -7.57%E -6.31%K -37.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -5.76%E -0.461%K -0.501%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 18:39
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.53%EV -4.49%E -3.62%K -18.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.91%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.56%EV -5.83%E -0.955%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 18:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.49%E -3.62%K -18.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 18:39
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.26%E -4.28%K -22.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 18:34
Caesars🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.26%E -4.28%K -22.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 18:20
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 18:14
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.22%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 18:19
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 18:19
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 18:24
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 18:24
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.57%E -6.31%K -37.86%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 18:33
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.26%EV -6.80%E -5.62%K -32.39%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 18:39
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -9.11%E -7.72%K -50.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.11%E -7.72%K -50.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -9.53%E -0.794%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 18:39
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -4.49%E -3.62%K -18.72%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.25%EV -13.30%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -3.51%E -0.562%K -0.669%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.12%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -13.30%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -1.20%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 18:39
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.12%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -13.30%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -1.20%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.22%EV -5.26%E -4.28%K -22.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.30%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 18:39
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.22%EV -5.26%E -4.28%K -22.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.30%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 18:39
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.22%EV -5.26%E -4.28%K -22.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.30%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 18:39
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.22%EV -5.26%E -4.28%K -22.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.30%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 18:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -3.72%E -2.98%K -14.89%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -17.07%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -5.26%E -4.28%K -22.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -17.07%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -17.07%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 18:39
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -17.07%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -17.07%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 18:39
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -6.80%E -5.62%K -32.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -17.07%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -6.80%E -5.62%K -32.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -17.07%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -17.07%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -17.07%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.03%E -4.94%K -27.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -20.84%E -1.98%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -6.80%E -5.62%K -32.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -20.84%E -1.98%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +0.349%E +0.054%K +0.063%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 79.26%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.69%0.1%2026-09-20 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 79.26%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.69%0.1%2026-09-20 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%0.5%2026-09-20 18:39
Matchbook◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%0.5%2026-09-20 18:39
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.78%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.62%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%0.7%2026-09-20 18:39
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 77.67%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.53%3.0%2026-09-20 18:19