Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Milan v Atalanta BC

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 18:45 UTC

Final: AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AC Milan (Local)

Prediction 41.93%2.38fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%41.93%41.92%43.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.3247.62%44.62%44.44%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atalanta BC (Visit)

Prediction 29.30%3.41fair odd
EV +2.54%
Edge +0.725%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.68%29.31%29.32%30.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.24%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.77%3.48fair odd
EV -0.728%
Edge -0.211%
Kelly -0.297%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.50%28.77%28.77%30.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.303.4534.72%30.50%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AC Milan (Local): 41.93%; Atalanta BC (Visit): 29.30%; Draw: 28.77%. For Atalanta BC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -6.50%E -2.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV +2.54%E +0.725%K +1.01%G +0.026%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.72%EV -2.74%E -0.811%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 18:39
BetAnything🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.73%EV -8.17%E -3.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.68%EV +1.36%E +0.394%K +0.555%G +0.008%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.59%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 17:24
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.82%E -2.12%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%EV +1.07%E +0.311%K +0.437%G +0.005%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV -3.89%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 18:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.40%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -1.86%E -0.555%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -0.728%E -0.211%K -0.297%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-10 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.40%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -1.86%E -0.555%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -0.728%E -0.211%K -0.297%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-10 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.40%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -1.86%E -0.555%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -0.728%E -0.211%K -0.297%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-10 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.40%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -1.86%E -0.555%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -0.728%E -0.211%K -0.297%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-10 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV -2.15%E -0.644%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV -3.89%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 18:38
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.93%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.30%EV -2.74%E -0.824%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.78%EV -2.74%E -0.811%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -3.03%E -0.899%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -3.03%E -0.899%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 18:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:04
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 17:59
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 17:54
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:04
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -8.59%E -3.94%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.75%EV -1.88%E -0.551%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 18:05
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:10
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:25
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 17:59
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 17:59
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.91%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.36%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.79%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 18:04
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.17%E -0.637%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:04
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 18:39
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 18:39
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 18:40
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -6.50%E -2.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -6.50%E -2.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:34
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -6.50%E -2.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:34
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -6.50%E -2.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:35
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -6.50%E -2.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:34
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -6.50%E -2.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:34
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -6.50%E -2.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 18:34
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 18:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 18:00
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 17:59
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.72%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 18:24
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.17%E -0.637%K -0.903%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:24
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.56%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -4.40%E -1.93%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 18:39
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.36%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 18:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 18:33
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -10.27%E -4.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 18:34
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.36%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 18:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.65%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -2.17%E -0.637%K -0.903%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 18:25
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.65%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.65%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.65%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 18:34
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 18:39
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.66%E -2.51%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.95%E -5.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -15.63%E -5.43%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -17.13%E -5.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-10 18:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.63%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82%0.1%2026-05-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.63%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82%0.1%2026-05-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.4%2026-05-10 18:40
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.4%2026-05-10 18:40
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-05-10 18:39
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%3.0%2026-05-10 18:39