Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.12
avec la cote maximale 4.10
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : US Catanzaro 1929 (Local) : 47.00% ; Südtirol (Visiteur) : 24.38% ; Match nul : 28.62%. Pour Südtirol (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.102. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.100, pour une espérance de -0.051% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -0.353%E -0.166%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -14.68%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -0.353%E -0.166%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -14.68%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -0.353%E -0.166%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -14.68%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -0.353%E -0.166%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -14.68%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -0.353%E -0.166%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -14.68%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -1.29%E -0.616%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -18.33%E -5.47%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.85%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.70%E -0.793%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -18.33%E -5.47%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.85%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -18.33%E -5.47%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.85%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -4.11%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -19.55%E -5.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.85%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.47%EV -4.58%E -2.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 15:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.76%EV -5.52%E -2.75%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.41%EV -0.051%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.83%EV -4.70%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.99%E -3.00%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.70%E -0.793%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.99%E -3.00%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.70%E -0.793%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -0.051%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.70%E -0.793%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -2.49%E -0.622%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.28%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.28%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.28%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.28%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -17.12%E -5.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.28%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -9.28%E -4.81%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -2.49%E -0.622%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -10.22%E -5.35%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -2.49%E -0.622%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -10.22%E -5.35%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 15:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -10.69%E -5.63%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.49%E -0.622%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -10.69%E -5.63%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 16:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 16:00 |