语言:简体中文
Genoa v Ascoli
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Genoa (主队)
预测 65.78%1.52公平赔率
EV -5.28%
优势 -3.67%
Kelly -12.01%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.44
博彩公司预测分布
64.99%65.93%65.81%68.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.43%71.43%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ascoli (客队)
预测 13.54%7.39公平赔率
EV +8.32%
优势 +1.04%
Kelly +1.19%
增长率 +0.099%
假设最高赔率为 8.00
博彩公司预测分布
11.78%13.49%13.54%14.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.257.017.008.0016.00%14.27%14.29%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.68%4.83公平赔率
EV -0.712%
优势 -0.148%
Kelly -0.187%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.80
博彩公司预测分布
19.34%20.58%20.65%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.494.504.8023.81%22.28%22.22%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Genoa (主队)：65.78%；Ascoli (客队)：13.54%；平局：20.68%。 对于“Ascoli (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.39。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.00，对应+8.32%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.32%E +1.04%K +1.19%G +0.099% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -11.20%E -8.30%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.78%E -0.592%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.79%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 7.34I 13.62%NM 13.01%EV -0.618%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.19%EV -2.16%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.04%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.04%EV -3.33%E -0.466%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -7.95%E -1.79%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.22%E -0.746%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.22%E -0.746%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.22%E -0.746%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -5.22%E -0.746%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.22%E -0.746%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.22%E -0.746%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -8.61%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -10.02%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.61%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -10.02%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.61%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -10.02%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.56%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -8.61%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -11.05%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -0.712%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -15.38%E -2.46%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.74% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.74% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.56% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |