Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Genoa v Ascoli

Inizio: 2026-08-16 16:33 UTC

Finale: Genoa 4–1 Ascoli

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Genoa (Casa)

Previsione 65.78%1.52quota equa
EV -5.28%
Vantaggio -3.67%
Kelly -12.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.99%65.93%65.81%68.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.43%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Ascoli (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.54%7.39quota equa
EV +8.32%
Vantaggio +1.04%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescita +0.099%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.78%13.49%13.54%14.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.257.017.008.0016.00%14.27%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.68%4.83quota equa
EV -0.712%
Vantaggio -0.148%
Kelly -0.187%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.34%20.58%20.65%21.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.494.504.8023.81%22.28%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Genoa (Casa): 65.78%; Ascoli (Trasferta): 13.54%; Pareggio: 20.68%. Per Ascoli (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.39. 10 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +8.32%.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.32%E +1.04%K +1.19%G +0.099%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:05
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -11.20%E -8.30%K -32.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.78%E -0.592%K -0.752%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.55%E +0.206%K +0.238%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 16:24
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.79%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.34I 13.62%NM 13.01%EV -0.618%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.19%EV -2.16%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:15
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.04%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.04%EV -3.33%E -0.466%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -7.95%E -1.79%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:19
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.22%E -0.746%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.22%E -0.746%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.22%E -0.746%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:19
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -5.22%E -0.746%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 15:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.22%E -0.746%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 16:19
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.22%E -0.746%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 16:19
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.39%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -8.61%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -10.02%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.61%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -10.02%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.61%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -10.02%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.56%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -8.61%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -11.05%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -0.712%E -0.148%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 16:24
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -1.75%E -0.368%K -0.466%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 16:14
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 15:50
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.43%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -11.99%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.12%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -15.38%E -2.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.92%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 16:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.74%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%0.3%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.74%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%0.3%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.56%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%0.6%2026-08-16 16:25