Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Frosinone v Juve Stabia

Inizio: 2026-08-16 16:05 UTC

Finale: Frosinone 4–1 Juve Stabia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Frosinone (Casa)

Previsione 65.99%1.52quota equa
EV -4.97%
Vantaggio -3.45%
Kelly -11.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.83%65.79%65.93%67.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.411.401.4473.53%71.13%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Juve Stabia (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.29%7.52quota equa
EV +0.639%
Vantaggio +0.084%
Kelly +0.097%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.46%13.48%13.37%15.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.837.007.5716.67%14.64%14.29%13.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.71%4.83quota equa
EV -1.62%
Vantaggio -0.340%
Kelly -0.431%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.72%20.73%20.70%21.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.504.504.7523.81%22.23%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Frosinone (Casa): 65.99%; Juve Stabia (Trasferta): 13.29%; Pareggio: 20.71%. Per Juve Stabia (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.52. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 7.57, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.639%.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.09%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.09%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.67%EV +0.639%E +0.084%K +0.097%G +0.001%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.24%EV -1.82%E -0.385%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 16:00
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -0.292%E -0.039%K -0.045%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.80%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -2.65%E -0.564%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:04
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.80%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 15:44
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -2.65%E -0.564%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -2.65%E -0.564%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -2.65%E -0.564%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -2.65%E -0.564%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -2.65%E -0.564%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.29%E -4.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.72%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 15:59
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -1.62%E -0.340%K -0.431%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.80%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.32%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.32%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 15:50
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.32%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 15:50
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.93%E -6.47%K -23.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -6.80%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 15:54
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.01%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.80%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 15:54
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.87%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 15:50
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -6.94%E -0.991%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.87%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 15:48
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.45%EV -5.63%E -3.94%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 13.52%EV -8.00%E -1.16%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.03%EV -7.83%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -9.60%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.87%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -13.59%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.72%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 15:35
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -13.59%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.72%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 15:40
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -13.59%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.80%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -8.93%E -6.47%K -23.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -14.92%E -2.33%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.87%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 15:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -8.93%E -6.47%K -23.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -14.92%E -2.33%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.87%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -8.93%E -6.47%K -23.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -14.92%E -2.33%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.87%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 15:54
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -4.97%E -3.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -16.91%E -2.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -8.87%E -2.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -6.95%E -4.93%K -16.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -20.23%E -3.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -10.94%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -7.61%E -5.44%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -20.23%E -3.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.01%E -3.10%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 16:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-08-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.87%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-08-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.1%2026-08-16 16:00