The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Benevento v Ravenna FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 19:01 UTC

Final: Benevento 5–3 Ravenna FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Benevento (Local)

Prediction 53.96%1.85fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -5.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.03%54.04%55.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.701.701.7760.24%58.81%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ravenna FC (Visit)

Prediction 19.70%5.07fair odd
EV +0.889%
Edge +0.174%
Kelly +0.216%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.54%19.65%19.71%20.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.794.855.1222.22%20.89%20.62%19.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV +0.087%
Edge +0.023%
Kelly +0.031%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%26.32%26.25%27.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.533.553.8029.41%28.32%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Benevento (Local): 53.96%; Ravenna FC (Visit): 19.70%; Draw: 26.34%. For Ravenna FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.889%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.54%EV +0.889%E +0.174%K +0.216%G +0.002%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.84%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 18:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -1.48%E -0.295%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -1.48%E -0.295%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -1.48%E -0.295%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.73%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -3.45%E -0.703%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -3.86%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 18:15
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -3.45%E -0.703%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -3.45%E -0.703%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 09:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -3.45%E -0.703%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -3.45%E -0.703%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -3.45%E -0.703%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -3.45%E -0.703%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 09:30
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -3.45%E -0.703%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -3.45%E -0.703%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -3.45%E -0.703%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 09:30
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -8.81%E -5.22%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -3.45%E -0.703%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 18:50
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -5.42%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:00
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.40%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -2.55%E -0.688%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:55
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.40%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 18:20
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.40%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.40%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.40%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -6.40%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -9.36%E -2.03%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 19:00
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.36%E -2.03%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 18:59
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.36%E -2.03%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 18:59
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV -11.13%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -4.92%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 18:59
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -11.33%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.087%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 18:59
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -7.73%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -11.33%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 19:00
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -11.33%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.83%EV -10.43%E -6.28%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.33%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -3.86%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.62%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.4%2026-08-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.62%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.4%2026-08-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.62%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.4%2026-08-09 19:00