Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arezzo v Brescia

2026-08-09 17:45 UTC — Coppa Italia

Frente a frente

29 casas de apostas (8 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arezzo (Local)

Previsão 43.27%2.31odd justa
EV -6.11%
Vantagem -2.82%
Kelly -5.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.23%43.36%43.34%45.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.042.102.102.1749.02%47.63%47.62%46.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Brescia (Visitante)

Previsão 27.58%3.63odd justa
EV +0.682%
Vantagem +0.187%
Kelly +0.257%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.33%27.36%27.49%28.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.463.403.6531.75%28.90%29.41%27.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.15%3.43odd justa
EV -0.893%
Vantagem -0.263%
Kelly -0.372%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.34%29.28%29.17%30.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.183.153.4033.33%31.48%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Arezzo (Local): 43.27%; Brescia (Visitante): 27.58%; Empate: 29.15%. Para Brescia (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.63. 10 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.65, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.682%.

Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.74%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 02:45
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.74%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 02:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.74%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 02:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.74%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 02:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.74%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 02:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.74%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 02:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.74%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 02:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.74%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 02:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.74%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV +0.682%E +0.187%K +0.257%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 02:44
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.68%EV -6.11%E -2.82%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.04%EV +0.406%E +0.112%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.28%EV -8.76%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 02:35
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -0.697%E -0.194%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 02:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.98%E -3.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.46%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 23:24
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.98%E -3.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.46%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 23:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.46%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 23:23
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.98%E -3.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 02:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.98%E -3.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 02:30
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -0.893%E -0.263%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 23:25
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -10.01%E -4.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 23:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -6.11%E -2.82%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 02:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.98%E -3.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:30
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -9.05%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 02:34
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -9.05%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 02:40
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.98%E -3.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 23:25
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.98%E -3.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.98%E -3.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 23:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.98%E -3.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.55%E -4.18%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 23:24
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 23:24
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.35%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.72%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 02:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -3.81%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 02:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 39.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 30.33%2.02I 49.50%NM 30.03%64.9%2026-08-09 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 39.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 30.33%2.02I 49.50%NM 30.03%64.9%2026-08-09 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 39.99%2.00I 50.00%NM 29.39%1.92I 52.08%NM 30.62%70.1%2026-08-08 23:25