The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Volos FC v Iraklis FC

2026-08-29 16:30 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Volos FC (Local)

Prediction 40.87%2.45fair odd
EV -7.64%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -6.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.25%40.87%40.87%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.252.2646.51%44.89%44.44%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iraklis FC (Visit)

Prediction 27.83%3.59fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.89%27.83%27.83%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.203.4333.33%30.96%31.25%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.31%3.19fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -0.953%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.61%31.31%31.31%32.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.953.1035.71%33.94%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Volos FC (Local): 40.87%; Iraklis FC (Visit): 27.83%; Draw: 31.31%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -2.95%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.97%EV -7.64%E -3.38%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.99%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.04%EV -9.53%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 21:29
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.38%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -9.84%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-21 21:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.95%E -0.953%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 21:44
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 21:44
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 21:44
Suprabets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.49%EV -9.69%E -4.38%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.89%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -9.21%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 00:53
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.73%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 21:49
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -12.14%E -5.65%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -12.34%E -4.41%K -6.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-21 21:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 40.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.52%16.6%2026-08-21 22:10

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