默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Volos FC v Aris Thessaloniki

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 16:29 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

15 家博彩公司 (2 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Volos FC (主队)

预测 43.74%2.29公平赔率
EV -5.97%
优势 -2.78%
Kelly -5.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
42.64%43.74%43.74%49.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.951.952.1555.56%51.30%51.28%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Aris Thessaloniki (客队)

预测 26.65%3.75公平赔率
EV +6.62%
优势 +1.65%
Kelly +2.21%
增长率 +0.146%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.23%26.65%26.65%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.703.804.0030.30%27.03%26.32%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.61%3.38公平赔率
EV +0.673%
优势 +0.198%
Kelly +0.280%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.33%29.61%29.61%29.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.253.353.4032.26%30.77%29.85%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Volos FC (主队):43.74%;Aris Thessaloniki (客队):26.65%;平局:29.61%。 对于“Aris Thessaloniki (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.75。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.00,对应+6.62%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -17.78%E -9.46%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV +6.62%E +1.65%K +2.21%G +0.146%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV +0.673%E +0.198%K +0.280%G +0.002%7.6%2026-08-27 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -14.72%E -7.55%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV +2.62%E +0.681%K +0.920%G +0.024%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -0.808%E -0.241%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -14.72%E -7.55%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV +2.62%E +0.681%K +0.920%G +0.024%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -0.808%E -0.241%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -14.72%E -7.55%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV +2.62%E +0.681%K +0.920%G +0.024%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -0.808%E -0.241%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:10
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.60%EV -14.28%E -7.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV +1.29%E +0.339%K +0.460%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -0.808%E -0.241%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.73%EV -14.72%E -7.55%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV +1.29%E +0.339%K +0.460%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -0.808%E -0.241%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 16:25
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.73%EV -14.72%E -7.55%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV +1.29%E +0.339%K +0.460%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -0.808%E -0.241%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.73%EV -14.72%E -7.55%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV +1.29%E +0.339%K +0.460%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -0.808%E -0.241%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.34%E -5.04%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.46%EV -18.65%E -10.03%K -21.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.46%EV -18.65%E -10.03%K -21.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -19.09%E -10.32%K -22.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-29 16:10
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.93%EV -6.84%E -3.21%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.38%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -21.28%E -11.82%K -26.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-29 16:25
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。