Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

PAOK Thessaloniki v Panathinaikos

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)

Prévision 57.00%1.75cote équitable
EV -4.23%
Avantage -2.52%
Kelly -6.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.90%56.98%56.93%57.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.631.621.6866.67%61.33%61.73%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Panathinaikos (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.15%5.83cote équitable
EV +2.41%
Avantage +0.404%
Kelly +0.486%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.08%17.18%17.16%19.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.135.005.9722.22%19.48%20.00%16.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.84%3.87cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -0.825%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%25.84%25.91%27.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.65%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : PAOK Thessaloniki (Local) : 57.00% ; Panathinaikos (Visiteur) : 17.15% ; Match nul : 25.84%. Pour Panathinaikos (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.83. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.97, soit une espérance positive de +2.41%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.83%EV -5.37%E -3.24%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.08%EV +2.41%E +0.404%K +0.486%G +0.012%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.90%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.66%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.32%EV +1.21%E +0.206%K +0.247%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.66%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.32%EV +1.21%E +0.206%K +0.247%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.08%E -4.35%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -0.503%E -0.087%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.68%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 15:39
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.08%E -4.35%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -0.503%E -0.087%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.68%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 15:40
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.76%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.25%EV -1.19%E -0.206%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 15:49
Suprabets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.90%EV -6.51%E -3.97%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -3.93%E -0.702%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.44%EV -8.78%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:44
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.65%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -3.93%E -0.702%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 15:53
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.68%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 15:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 15:49
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.94%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.09%E -0.825%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 15:19
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -9.94%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.94%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 15:40
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.79%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.94%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -11.07%E -7.10%K -19.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -9.94%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 15:39
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -10.80%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.19%EV -14.49%E -9.66%K -28.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.82%EV -12.51%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-05 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -6.51%E -3.97%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 15:39
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 15:54
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.79%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -10.50%E -6.69%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -10.50%E -6.69%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 15:35
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 15:35
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 15:35
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.14%EV -10.50%E -6.69%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.22%EV -18.52%E -3.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -16.01%E -4.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-05 15:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.31%EV -5.37%E -3.24%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -19.37%E -4.12%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.74%EV -9.93%E -6.29%K -17.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.74%EV -19.37%E -4.12%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -21.09%E -4.58%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -10.50%E -6.69%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -22.80%E -5.07%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -19.89%E -6.42%K -9.47%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-05 15:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-05 15:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.44%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-04-05 15:49
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-04-05 15:35