La escuela de los momios

PAOK Thessaloniki v Panathinaikos

Inicio: 2026-04-05 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

PAOK Thessaloniki (Local)

Predicción 57.00%1.75momio equitativo
EV -4.23%
Ventaja -2.52%
Kelly -6.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.90%56.98%56.93%57.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.631.621.6866.67%61.33%61.73%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panathinaikos (Visitante)

Predicción 17.15%5.83momio equitativo
EV +2.41%
Ventaja +0.404%
Kelly +0.486%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.08%17.18%17.16%19.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.135.005.9722.22%19.48%20.00%16.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.84%3.87momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%25.84%25.91%27.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.65%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 57.83%EV -5.37%E -3.24%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.08%EV +2.41%E +0.404%K +0.486%G +0.012%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.90%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 15:55
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.66%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.32%EV +1.21%E +0.206%K +0.247%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 15:45
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.66%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.32%EV +1.21%E +0.206%K +0.247%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 15:45
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.08%E -4.35%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -0.503%E -0.087%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.68%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 15:39
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -7.08%E -4.35%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -0.503%E -0.087%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.68%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 15:40
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.76%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.25%EV -1.19%E -0.206%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 15:49
Suprabets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.90%EV -6.51%E -3.97%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -3.93%E -0.702%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.44%EV -8.78%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:44
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.65%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -3.93%E -0.702%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 15:53
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.68%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 15:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 15:54
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 15:49
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 15:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 15:50
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.94%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.09%E -0.825%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 15:19
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -9.94%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:35
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.94%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 15:40
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.79%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.94%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:54
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -11.07%E -7.10%K -19.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -9.94%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 15:39
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -10.80%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 15:55
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.19%EV -14.49%E -9.66%K -28.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.82%EV -12.51%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-05 15:45
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -6.51%E -3.97%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 15:39
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 15:54
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.79%E -5.50%K -14.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 15:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -10.50%E -6.69%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -10.50%E -6.69%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:20
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 15:35
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 15:35
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 15:35
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.14%EV -10.50%E -6.69%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.22%EV -18.52%E -3.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -16.01%E -4.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-05 15:54
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.31%EV -5.37%E -3.24%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -19.37%E -4.12%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.74%EV -9.93%E -6.29%K -17.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.74%EV -19.37%E -4.12%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 15:40
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.26%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -21.09%E -4.58%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -10.50%E -6.69%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -22.80%E -5.07%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -19.89%E -6.42%K -9.47%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-05 15:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-05 15:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.44%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-04-05 15:49
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-04-05 15:35