Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 24.93
assuming max odds 1.16
assuming max odds 9.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panserraikos FC (Local): 4.79%; Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit): 82.63%; Draw: 12.59%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.94. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.59%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +0.494%E +0.024%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.07%EV +19.59%E +2.06%K +2.30%G +0.451% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +0.494%E +0.024%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.07%EV +19.59%E +2.06%K +2.30%G +0.451% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 24.93I 4.01%NM 3.83%EV +19.30%E +0.774%K +0.807%G +0.156% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.07%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.32%G +0.000% | 9.46I 10.57%NM 10.10%EV +19.09%E +2.02%K +2.26%G +0.431% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.20%EV +5.28%E +0.240%K +0.251%G +0.013% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.54%EV -10.76%E -9.97%K -134.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV +13.30%E +1.48%K +1.66%G +0.221% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +0.494%E +0.024%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.73%EV -9.11%E -8.28%K -91.11%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV +8.26%E +0.960%K +1.09%G +0.090% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 13:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +0.494%E +0.024%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV +7.00%E +0.824%K +0.934%G +0.065% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -4.29%E -0.215%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.49%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -51.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +0.707%E +0.088%K +0.101%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -4.29%E -0.215%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.49%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -51.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +0.707%E +0.088%K +0.101%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -13.86%E -0.770%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +0.707%E +0.088%K +0.101%G +0.001% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 22.50I 4.44%NM 4.24%EV +7.67%E +0.341%K +0.357%G +0.027% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.03%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV -23.43%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.49%EV -4.15%E -3.58%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +0.494%E +0.024%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.15%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -9.08%E -0.478%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -13.86%E -0.770%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -13.86%E -0.770%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -13.86%E -0.770%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -13.86%E -0.770%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -13.86%E -0.770%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -13.86%E -0.770%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -13.86%E -0.770%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -13.86%E -0.770%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +5.28%E +0.240%K +0.251%G +0.013% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.57%EV -9.11%E -8.28%K -91.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -13.86%E -0.770%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.67%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -18.65%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -18.65%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -18.65%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.59%E -0.745%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -9.08%E -0.478%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.79%EV -5.81%E -5.09%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.30%EV -11.76%E -1.68%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +0.494%E +0.024%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.81%E -5.09%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -11.88%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV +10.06%E +0.438%K +0.457%G +0.046% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.73%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.88%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV +10.06%E +0.438%K +0.457%G +0.046% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.73%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.88%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV +10.06%E +0.438%K +0.457%G +0.046% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.73%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.88%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV +10.06%E +0.438%K +0.457%G +0.046% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.73%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.88%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -18.65%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.71%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -11.88%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV -18.65%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.84%EV -9.11%E -8.28%K -91.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -11.88%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -23.43%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.57%EV -9.11%E -8.28%K -91.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -11.88%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 17.25I 5.80%NM 5.17%EV -17.45%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.89%EV -9.94%E -9.12%K -110.42%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.94%EV -13.14%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.58%EV -4.29%E -0.215%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.84%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.58%EV -15.03%E -2.23%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.50%EV -35.40%E -2.62%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 80.50%EV -9.94%E -9.12%K -110.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -15.03%E -2.23%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.07%EV -18.65%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.15%EV -13.24%E -12.61%K -264.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.78%EV -15.03%E -2.23%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.33%EV -18.65%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.93%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.73%EV -16.92%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.82%EV -9.08%E -0.478%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.08%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -51.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -18.18%E -2.80%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -28.22%E -1.88%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.91%EV -5.81%E -5.09%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -18.18%E -2.80%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV -18.65%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -18.18%E -2.80%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -37.79%E -2.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -5.81%E -5.09%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -18.18%E -2.80%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -37.79%E -2.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -5.81%E -5.09%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -18.18%E -2.80%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -37.79%E -2.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -5.81%E -5.09%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -18.18%E -2.80%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -37.79%E -2.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -5.81%E -5.09%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -18.18%E -2.80%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.59%EV -23.43%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.64%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -18.18%E -2.80%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.09%EV -18.65%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 81.60%EV -12.42%E -11.71%K -206.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -18.18%E -2.80%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV -18.65%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.69%EV -6.63%E -5.87%K -51.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -24.47%E -4.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -18.65%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.98%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -24.47%E -4.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.72%EV -37.79%E -2.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 78.72%EV -8.28%E -7.46%K -75.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.56%EV -24.47%E -4.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.08%EV -32.05%E -2.26%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 79.17%EV -9.94%E -9.12%K -110.42%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 14.75%EV -26.36%E -4.51%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.53% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.37% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.53% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.37% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.53% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.37% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.36% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.07% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.57% | 2.8% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |